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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 22, 2011·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Nashville Predators 2, Calgary Flames 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 64% of the time.

CGY winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smithson–Tootoo–SpalingLegwand–Halischuk–WilsonKostitsyn–Hornqvist–SmithMcGrattan–Bergfors–GeoffrionTootoo–Spaling–SmithKostitsyn–Halischuk–SmithKostitsyn–Hornqvist–GeoffrionMcGrattan–Smithson–BergforsKlein–BlumSuter–WeberLaakso–Hillen
Kostopoulos–Jackman–Horak2:070.00–0.051:080.02–0.001:580.01–0.000:370.01–0.001:050.07–0.001:510.04–0.052:390.00–0.003:050.07–0.01
Jokinen–Stempniak–Glencross0:490.00–0.141:100.00–0.012:220.09–0.020:350.03–0.001:350.00–0.013:410.07–0.150:410.05–0.06
Iginla–Jokinen–Glencross1:490.14–0.022:340.04–0.003:570.23–0.161:390.09–0.02
Morrison–Iginla–Tanguay1:590.00–0.341:100.03–0.003:070.02–0.191:330.00–0.330:320.03–0.00
Moss–Stajan–Bourque1:190.00–0.000:450.09–0.001:010.00–0.111:040.18–0.001:300.00–0.002:510.26–0.11
Morrison–Stempniak–Bourque1:340.07–0.030:300.00–0.000:320.11–0.001:260.29–0.031:060.07–0.00
Tanguay–Stempniak–Bourque0:550.06–0.001:090.06–0.00
Tanguay–Moss–Stajan0:320.03–0.000:420.00–0.020:350.00–0.020:460.03–0.00
Bouwmeester–Butler2:160.04–0.004:360.02–0.314:310.07–0.041:240.00–0.000:560.11–0.107:150.18–0.356:450.05–0.281:140.03–0.01
Hannan–Giordano1:200.12–0.004:370.19–0.072:400.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:490.01–0.000:560.18–0.006:460.34–0.073:160.14–0.002:550.20–0.06
Sarich–Smith4:500.10–0.401:020.55–0.001:080.01–0.111:050.07–0.001:240.00–0.134:440.49–0.254:290.21–0.21
Bouwmeester–Smith0:350.10–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBourque FStajan FMoss FIginla FMorrison FTanguay FJokinen FGlencross FStempniak FJackman FKostopoulos FHorak FBouwmeester DButler DGiordano DHannan DSarich DSmith DKiprusoff GLegwand FHalischuk FWilson FSpaling FTootoo FSmithson FSmith FKostitsyn FHornqvist FGeoffrion FBergfors FMcGrattan FWeber DSuter DBlum DKlein DLaakso DHillen DRinne G
CGYNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan SuterNSH2927:410:572:1825
Shea WeberNSH2927:340:572:4025
Jay BouwmeesterCGY2824:210:521:2923
Mark GiordanoCGY2923:560:501:4754
Jonathon BlumNSH2522:570:551:4936
Kevin KleinNSH2522:240:541:2726
Jarome IginlaCGY2621:500:501:5572
Curtis GlencrossCGY2421:110:531:5333
Chris ButlerCGY2520:410:501:4822
Olli JokinenCGY2120:230:581:3841
Nick SpalingNSH2618:420:431:1037
Alex TanguayCGY2118:400:531:3392
Jerred SmithsonNSH2718:170:411:1338
Sergei KostitsynNSH2618:160:421:1910
David LegwandNSH2717:410:391:2043
Scott HannanCGY2317:340:461:3044
Craig SmithNSH2516:510:401:1910
Lee StempniakCGY2116:480:481:5331
Patric HornqvistNSH2316:100:421:2030
Rene BourqueCGY2316:070:421:0882
Jordin TootooNSH2015:440:471:2133
Matt HalischukNSH2315:220:401:1543
Brendan MorrisonCGY2115:050:431:0945
Colin WilsonNSH2114:590:431:2043
Derek SmithCGY2314:510:391:1843
Cory SarichCGY2112:410:361:1844
David MossCGY1911:130:351:0850
Tim JackmanCGY1511:040:441:1312
Tom KostopoulosCGY1610:380:401:2812
Roman HorakCGY1510:130:411:0912
Jack HillenNSH159:520:391:3021
Teemu LaaksoNSH149:320:411:5121
Blake GeoffrionNSH129:110:461:2610
Matt StajanCGY138:150:381:0542
Brian McGrattanNSH96:080:411:5110
Niclas BergforsNSH84:390:351:4310