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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 21, 2011·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Philadelphia Flyers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.

PHI winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PHI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ruutu–Staal–SkinnerDwyer–Tlusty–SutterPonikarovsky–Jokinen–LaRoseBrent–Stewart–SutterDwyer–Sutter–SutterAllen–GleasonHarrison–FaulkKaberle–McBain
Brière–van Riemsdyk–Read3:540.04–0.152:250.17–0.105:270.13–0.080:540.00–0.004:550.06–0.124:520.18–0.213:060.10–0.00
Hartnell–Giroux–Voracek2:360.29–0.364:570.18–0.142:120.36–0.000:380.00–0.005:230.26–0.034:380.57–0.192:000.06–0.36
Talbot–Nodl–Simmonds4:550.42–0.011:430.08–0.023:010.25–0.012:210.14–0.002:530.11–0.02
Shelley–Rinaldo–Couturier1:060.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:400.00–0.041:490.00–0.12
Timonen–Meszaros10:380.65–0.885:360.36–0.034:490.20–0.552:420.10–0.36
Carle–Marshall1:070.10–0.004:400.39–0.103:390.40–0.081:330.38–0.000:430.00–0.006:180.17–0.004:420.73–0.191:060.00–0.00
Lilja–Bourdon0:370.00–0.003:350.00–0.092:280.09–0.000:350.00–0.001:360.00–0.033:570.09–0.164:310.06–0.04
Carle–Bourdon0:380.06–0.101:240.00–0.000:300.06–0.000:380.00–0.10
Carle–Meszaros0:420.03–0.100:380.00–0.000:510.00–0.100:410.03–0.000:460.00–0.00
Lilja–Carle1:170.08–0.000:570.08–0.00
Meszaros–Bourdon0:580.00–0.040:510.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndNodl FSimmonds FTalbot Fvan Riemsdyk FRead FBrière FHartnell FGiroux FVoracek FCouturier FRinaldo FShelley FMeszaros DTimonen DCarle DMarshall DLilja DBourdon DBryzgalov GStaal FRuutu FSkinner FSutter FTlusty FDwyer FPonikarovsky FJokinen FLaRose FStewart FSutter FBrent FFaulk DHarrison DAllen DGleason DMcBain DKaberle DWard G
PHICARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matt CarlePHI3025:280:511:3663
Andrej MeszarosPHI3124:320:471:47410
Jay HarrisonCAR3424:280:431:3429
Justin FaulkCAR3324:040:441:3428
Claude GirouxPHI2723:440:531:4168
Kimmo TimonenPHI3022:070:441:4068
Matt ReadPHI2521:340:521:4644
Scott HartnellPHI2321:070:551:4755
Tim GleasonCAR2821:070:451:5054
Daniel BrièrePHI2421:000:531:4054
Eric StaalCAR2920:530:431:1765
Jeff SkinnerCAR2720:320:461:1764
Bryan AllenCAR2920:260:421:2354
James van RiemsdykPHI2419:290:491:4063
Brandon SutterCAR3019:220:391:1238
Jakub VoracekPHI2218:480:511:2065
Tuomo RuutuCAR2718:140:411:0954
Patrick DwyerCAR2818:030:391:1238
Jiri TlustyCAR2616:230:381:1255
Marc-Andre BourdonPHI2415:490:401:0932
Jamie McBainCAR2215:290:421:5091
Max TalbotPHI2215:270:421:2856
Chad LaRoseCAR2615:220:351:0572
Tomas KaberleCAR2114:260:411:2491
Andreas LiljaPHI2114:250:411:0734
Wayne SimmondsPHI2114:230:411:2373
Kevin MarshallPHI2014:110:431:1452
Jussi JokinenCAR2413:250:341:0172
Alexei PonikarovskyCAR2312:300:331:0572
Andreas NodlPHI1610:400:401:0043
Sean CouturierPHI116:440:371:0411
Tim BrentCAR146:410:290:5031
Brett SutterCAR136:100:280:5011
Anthony StewartCAR94:360:311:0310
Jody ShelleyPHI64:140:421:0400
Zac RinaldoPHI73:330:300:5200