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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 29, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 67% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Parenteau–Moulson–TavaresNielsen–Okposo–GrabnerRolston–Bailey–UllstromReasoner–Martin–NiederreiterBailey–Martin–NiederreiterMacDonald–HamonicStaios–StreitMottau–JurcinaStreit–HamonicStreit–JurcinaStaios–HamonicStaios–MacDonaldJurcina–MacDonald
Hecht–Pominville–Vanek5:140.21–0.482:500.08–0.361:430.00–0.000:360.16–0.004:190.37–0.324:010.08–0.392:010.00–0.120:340.00–0.00
Szczechura–Leino–Adam3:350.15–0.091:090.00–0.113:080.02–0.180:440.08–0.004:180.08–0.162:340.15–0.162:060.04–0.091:010.01–0.00
Roy–Gerbe–Kassian1:170.00–0.001:190.03–0.012:350.02–0.171:370.03–0.000:520.02–0.162:440.00–0.02
Roy–Stafford–Gerbe0:510.00–0.001:490.00–0.031:390.06–0.051:020.05–0.052:400.02–0.030:530.00–0.05
Gaustad–Ellis–Stafford1:550.10–0.080:370.00–0.000:440.00–0.001:320.03–0.080:310.07–0.000:570.01–0.000:370.00–0.00
Gaustad–Ellis–Kassian1:000.00–0.001:100.01–0.001:100.00–0.001:210.01–0.00
Ehrhoff–Gragnani2:510.00–0.165:520.23–0.262:320.09–0.051:300.02–0.000:430.08–0.003:450.13–0.057:160.27–0.401:440.00–0.020:490.00–0.00
Regehr–Ehrhoff2:260.05–0.001:000.01–0.011:270.00–0.162:300.01–0.241:230.00–0.011:380.02–0.00
Sekera–McNabb0:400.00–0.021:550.06–0.171:170.00–0.001:050.16–0.002:510.22–0.002:180.00–0.190:410.00–0.00
Regehr–McNabb1:060.00–0.001:050.00–0.022:200.00–0.010:430.00–0.021:230.00–0.001:140.00–0.022:220.00–0.020:480.00–0.01
Leopold–Sekera1:380.09–0.080:400.00–0.000:370.00–0.001:220.00–0.080:310.07–0.001:200.05–0.00
Regehr–Sekera2:030.21–0.321:300.21–0.320:500.00–0.05
Sekera–Gragnani0:350.00–0.000:410.13–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStafford FGaustad FEllis FVanek FPominville FHecht FRoy FGerbe FKassian FLeino FSzczechura FAdam FLeopold DSekera DEhrhoff DGragnani DRegehr DMcNabb DEnroth GParenteau FMoulson FTavares FOkposo FGrabner FNielsen FUllstrom FBailey FRolston FMartin FNiederreiter FReasoner FHamonic DMacDonald DStaios DStreit DJurcina DMottau DMontoya G
BUFNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Christian EhrhoffBUF2732:481:133:4554
Marc-Andre GragnaniBUF2523:340:572:1182
Andrew MacDonaldNYI3022:490:461:3525
Travis HamonicNYI3022:210:451:4515
Mark StreitNYI2522:090:531:5564
Andrej SekeraBUF3021:110:421:3521
Thomas VanekBUF2220:420:562:2170
John TavaresNYI2320:250:531:4450
Jason PominvilleBUF2520:120:482:2173
Robyn RegehrBUF2520:030:481:4133
Steve StaiosNYI2419:250:491:1554
PA ParenteauNYI2219:140:521:5650
Matt MoulsonNYI2318:360:491:5640
Frans NielsenNYI2517:030:411:1907
Michael GrabnerNYI2617:020:391:0907
Ville LeinoBUF1816:490:561:3542
Derek RoyBUF2116:410:481:5524
Milan JurcinaNYI2216:310:451:2413
Luke AdamBUF1916:190:521:2622
Jochen HechtBUF2016:160:491:2240
Josh BaileyNYI2115:370:451:2132
Drew StaffordBUF2115:120:431:2953
Brian RolstonNYI1915:080:481:1861
Kyle OkposoNYI2114:280:411:1905
Brayden McNabbBUF2014:260:431:2732
Mike MottauNYI1813:410:461:3811
Paul SzczechuraBUF1513:180:531:3922
Nathan GerbeBUF1913:040:411:3634
Paul GaustadBUF1710:380:381:1814
David UllstromNYI1610:160:390:5731
Matt MartinNYI159:370:381:1810
Zack KassianBUF159:340:381:0712
Marty ReasonerNYI169:020:341:1601
Nino NiederreiterNYI138:390:401:3500
Matt EllisBUF127:520:390:5710
Jordan LeopoldBUF87:180:551:3500