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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 9, 2012·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, New York Rangers 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 76% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Moore–Thompson–PyattDownie–Purcell–StamkosSt. Louis–Lecavalier–ShannonWyman–Stamkos–ConnollySt. Louis–Wyman–ConnollyKubina–BrewerClark–HedmanGervais–MikkelsonGilroy–HedmanGervais–HedmanClark–GilroyMikkelson–GilroyClark–BrewerKubina–HedmanClark–GervaisBrewer–Hedman
Gaborik–Anisimov–Stepan3:070.07–0.013:530.00–0.342:590.48–0.046:580.49–0.462:050.00–0.001:480.00–0.000:440.02–0.00
Boyle–Dubinsky–Prust0:550.00–0.003:080.00–0.005:240.16–0.152:580.11–0.001:430.11–0.250:510.00–0.001:280.00–0.001:370.00–0.001:030.02–0.000:460.00–0.001:000.00–0.25
Mitchell–Callahan–Hagelin3:370.23–0.402:210.16–0.001:350.00–0.002:270.30–0.372:380.08–0.001:270.80–0.000:390.00–0.030:300.00–0.00
Rupp–Richards–Fedotenko2:040.00–0.000:400.00–0.121:000.00–0.121:070.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Richards–Callahan–Hagelin1:470.09–0.001:520.09–0.00
Richards–Dubinsky–Prust1:300.23–0.000:430.16–0.001:060.07–0.00
Girardi–McDonagh2:270.02–0.000:430.00–0.0010:160.66–0.200:470.50–0.007:150.56–0.114:440.08–0.250:570.00–0.001:070.06–0.000:440.02–0.000:550.03–0.000:470.00–0.011:000.00–0.25
Eminger–Staal9:310.37–0.410:460.00–0.000:350.00–0.124:040.28–0.392:180.09–0.001:280.80–0.121:560.00–0.030:480.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Stralman–Del Zotto1:260.00–0.008:530.39–0.001:560.07–0.002:130.24–0.003:410.00–0.002:460.07–0.090:350.00–0.00
Staal–Stralman1:570.00–0.340:540.00–0.341:060.19–0.00
Staal–Girardi0:420.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Girardi–Del Zotto0:370.00–0.00
Stralman–McDonagh
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPrust FDubinsky FBoyle FGaborik FStepan FAnisimov FMitchell FHagelin FCallahan FRichards FFedotenko FRupp FStaal DEminger DGirardi DMcDonagh DStralman DDel Zotto DBiron GPyatt FMoore FThompson FSt. Louis FLecavalier FShannon FDownie FStamkos FPurcell FConnolly FWyman FBrewer DKubina DClark DHedman DGervais DMikkelson DGilroy DGaron G
NYRTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3627:020:451:3633
Ryan McDonaghNYR2526:041:032:1053
Dan GirardiNYR2726:020:582:0554
Martin St. LouisTBL2623:190:541:5142
Eric BrewerTBL3022:220:451:3525
Pavel KubinaTBL2922:180:461:3535
Vincent LecavalierTBL2422:160:561:5033
Steven StamkosTBL2422:120:561:2252
Derek StepanNYR2321:260:561:4481
Brett ClarkTBL2721:080:471:5002
Michael Del ZottoNYR2120:260:583:2333
Marian GaborikNYR2120:040:571:3670
Ryan CallahanNYR2119:540:571:5851
Tom PyattTBL2318:490:491:1708
Brandon DubinskyNYR2218:420:511:3003
Artem AnisimovNYR2218:280:501:3291
Marc StaalNYR1918:190:581:3942
Anton StralmanNYR2217:590:491:3522
Nate ThompsonTBL2317:480:461:1118
Brandon PrustNYR2017:000:511:2413
Teddy PurcellTBL2016:520:511:2241
Steve DownieTBL1716:340:581:3031
Dominic MooreTBL2216:200:451:1115
Brian BoyleNYR1915:500:501:3124
Carl HagelinNYR1714:410:521:4530
Brad RichardsNYR1414:371:032:3822
Ryan ShannonTBL1514:250:582:0903
Steve EmingerNYR1512:590:521:3931
John MitchellNYR1312:020:561:4810
Bruno GervaisTBL1511:120:451:1521
Brendan MikkelsonTBL1710:580:391:0322
Matt GilroyTBL1510:490:431:2232
JT WymanTBL106:010:360:5101
Ruslan FedotenkoNYR95:550:391:1022
Mike RuppNYR75:140:451:0801
Brett ConnollyTBL73:520:330:4700