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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 12, 2012·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 91% of the time.

PIT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Downie–Purcell–StamkosSt. Louis–Lecavalier–ShannonMoore–Thompson–PyattSt. Louis–Lecavalier–PyattMoore–Thompson–ConnollyHall–Wyman–ConnollySt. Louis–Lecavalier–ConnollyLecavalier–Downie–PurcellHall–Wyman–ShannonSt. Louis–Shannon–StamkosSt. Louis–Moore–StamkosBrewer–HedmanGervais–MikkelsonClark–HedmanClark–KubinaKubina–BrewerKubina–HedmanKubina–MikkelsonGervais–Hedman
Kunitz–Malkin–Neal3:570.95–0.001:060.00–0.001:310.04–0.000:500.02–0.550:470.00–0.001:120.04–0.063:400.30–0.061:140.06–0.002:400.31–0.552:070.00–0.001:360.18–0.150:400.23–0.05
Cooke–Dupuis–Staal2:460.24–0.183:150.21–0.070:350.00–0.000:360.00–0.010:320.00–0.000:310.00–0.014:050.17–0.231:040.14–0.000:570.03–0.031:290.12–0.00
Sullivan–O'Reilly–Jeffrey1:200.01–0.001:410.02–0.040:350.00–0.001:330.00–0.040:410.14–0.000:400.00–0.000:520.01–0.000:370.00–0.00
Park–Adams–Vitale0:470.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:530.00–0.152:460.00–0.150:410.00–0.00
Sullivan–Adams–Vitale1:090.32–0.001:090.32–0.00
Park–Sullivan–Vitale1:000.00–0.050:420.00–0.05
Cooke–Dupuis–Vitale0:490.00–0.000:580.00–0.00
Orpik–Letang4:280.53–0.231:460.07–0.021:060.09–0.011:010.10–0.001:220.00–0.003:240.00–0.061:270.05–0.061:200.15–0.002:420.07–0.173:050.25–0.150:360.23–0.001:070.10–0.00
Michalek–Niskanen1:440.01–0.001:190.00–0.552:040.02–0.042:010.35–0.000:520.04–0.060:520.00–0.021:000.00–0.002:290.00–0.093:450.04–0.002:520.34–0.551:420.05–0.021:020.06–0.000:550.00–0.00
Martin–Engelland2:350.46–0.161:380.00–0.000:470.04–0.002:390.17–0.070:460.00–0.000:520.00–0.153:330.31–0.153:460.33–0.151:040.00–0.001:390.17–0.070:300.03–0.00
Engelland–Niskanen0:310.00–0.072:580.00–0.051:040.00–0.000:470.00–0.071:250.00–0.05
Martin–Michalek0:330.00–0.031:130.03–0.000:420.03–0.00
Orpik–Martin1:040.14–0.001:040.14–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDupuis FStaal FCooke FJeffrey FAdams FKunitz FMalkin FNeal FO'Reilly FSullivan FPark FVitale FOrpik DLetang DMichalek DMartin DEngelland DNiskanen DJohnson GLecavalier FPyatt FSt. Louis FStamkos FDownie FShannon FPurcell FMoore FThompson FConnolly FHall FWyman FBrewer DKubina DGervais DHedman DMikkelson DClark DGaron G
PITTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3428:180:501:45411
Martin St. LouisTBL2523:470:572:0137
Kris LetangPIT2523:110:562:2142
Eric BrewerTBL3122:530:441:29210
Evgeni MalkinPIT2222:271:012:1461
Vincent LecavalierTBL2321:520:572:0137
James NealPIT2021:371:051:5761
Matt NiskanenPIT1919:531:032:1043
Pavel KubinaTBL3119:520:381:2846
Jordan StaalPIT2419:410:491:4533
Brooks OrpikPIT2519:380:471:5242
Zbynek MichalekPIT2019:340:592:1042
Steven StamkosTBL2418:030:451:2152
Chris KunitzPIT2118:020:521:5771
Brett ClarkTBL2317:200:451:5325
Paul MartinPIT2117:120:491:1653
Pascal DupuisPIT2017:070:511:4331
Steve DownieTBL2316:560:441:2732
Tom PyattTBL2316:420:441:2935
Bruno GervaisTBL1916:010:511:3930
Brendan MikkelsonTBL1915:550:501:5212
Deryk EngellandPIT1815:230:511:1433
Dominic MooreTBL1915:120:481:3933
Steve SullivanPIT1715:090:532:0672
Craig AdamsPIT1514:060:561:3133
Matt CookePIT1613:390:511:3411
Teddy PurcellTBL2013:260:401:2732
Nate ThompsonTBL2013:130:401:2836
Joe VitalePIT1311:510:551:5854
Ryan ShannonTBL1411:370:501:1233
Cal O'ReillyPIT129:480:491:2240
Dustin JeffreyPIT139:220:431:4631
Brett ConnollyTBL118:490:482:0104
Adam HallTBL108:350:521:4512
Richard ParkPIT118:200:451:1842
JT WymanTBL106:170:380:5212