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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 28, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Florida Panthers 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Florida Panthers

5

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Goal by Goc (Wolski)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak · FLA Weaver, Goc, Fleischmann, Wolski, Ellerby

  3. P1 2:21Goal by Santorelli (Skille, Gudbranson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Liles, Lombardi, Komisarek, Kulemin · FLA Jovanovski, Goc, Santorelli, Skille, Gudbranson

  4. P1 4:42Shot by Komisarek, saved by Theodore
  5. P1 4:55Shot by Liles, saved by Theodore
  6. P1 4:59Shot by Liles, saved by Theodore
  7. P1 6:03Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Theodore
  8. P1 6:47Shot by Lupul, saved by Theodore
  9. P1 7:13Shot by Brown, saved by Theodore
  10. P1 11:07Shot by Wolski, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 12:10Shot by Connolly, saved by Theodore
  12. P1 12:11Shot by Kulemin, saved by Theodore
  13. P1 15:30Shot by Santorelli, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 18:58Madden: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lombardi, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gardiner, Bozak · FLA Jovanovski, Madden, Barch, Smithson, Gudbranson

  15. P1 19:33Shot by Lupul, saved by Theodore5v4
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 1:34Shot by Santorelli, saved by Reimer
  19. P2 2:53Shot by Goc, saved by Reimer
  20. P2 3:11Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Reimer
  21. P2 3:43Lupul: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak · FLA Campbell, Samuelsson, Weiss, Bergenheim, Garrison

  22. P2 4:41Shot by Gardiner, saved by Theodore4v5
  23. P2 5:26Bergenheim: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Komisarek, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · FLA Campbell, Samuelsson, Weiss, Bergenheim, Garrison

  24. P2 5:30Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Theodore4v4
  25. P2 7:50Shot by Gardiner, saved by Theodore
  26. P2 9:31Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Reimer
  27. P2 9:32Weiss: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak · FLA Campbell, Samuelsson, Weiss, Bergenheim, Garrison

  28. P2 10:46Goal by Kessel (Phaneuf, Lupul)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak · FLA Campbell, Skille, Matthias, Ellerby

  29. P2 11:11Shot by Connolly, saved by Theodore
  30. P2 12:19Shot by Frattin, saved by Theodore
  31. P2 12:25Shot by Grabovski, saved by Theodore
  32. P2 12:36MacArthur: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Frattin · FLA Madden, Barch, Smithson, Weaver, Ellerby

  33. P2 13:52Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Reimer4v5
  34. P2 13:54Goal by Santorelli (Fleischmann, Campbell)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson · FLA Jovanovski, Campbell, Fleischmann, Wolski, Santorelli

  35. P2 14:10Shot by Goc, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 14:40Shot by Smithson, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 17:27Shot by Skille, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 0:11Garrison: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Kessel, Frattin, Gardiner, Bozak · FLA Campbell, Goc, Fleischmann, Skille, Garrison

  41. P3 2:21Shot by Grabovski, saved by Theodore
  42. P3 2:30Shot by Kulemin, saved by Theodore
  43. P3 3:40Liles: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Liles, Komisarek, Crabb, Lupul · FLA Weaver, Wolski, Santorelli, Matthias, Ellerby

  44. P3 3:43Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Reimer4v5
  45. P3 4:21Shot by Campbell, saved by Reimer4v5
  46. P3 4:35Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Reimer4v5
  47. P3 4:36Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Reimer4v5
  48. P3 4:38Goal by Garrison, unassisted4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Gardiner · FLA Campbell, Samuelsson, Weiss, Bergenheim, Garrison

  49. P3 7:57Shot by Brown, saved by Theodore
  50. P3 8:45Shot by Gardiner, saved by Theodore
  51. P3 8:48Goal by Kulemin (Grabovski, Phaneuf)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gardiner · FLA Madden, Smithson, Weaver, Matthias, Ellerby

  52. P3 9:13Shot by Skille, saved by Reimer
  53. P3 9:39Shot by Connolly, saved by Theodore
  54. P3 9:49Goal by Weiss (Bergenheim)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Lombardi, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson · FLA Samuelsson, Weaver, Weiss, Bergenheim, Gudbranson

  55. P3 10:50Shot by Grabovski, saved by Theodore
  56. P3 12:30Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Theodore
  57. P3 13:08Shot by Crabb, saved by Theodore
  58. P3 13:21Phaneuf: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lombardi, Crabb, Phaneuf, Grabovski · FLA Samuelsson, Weaver, Weiss, Bergenheim, Ellerby

  59. P3 14:18Shot by Wolski, saved by Reimer4v5
  60. P3 15:16Shot by Smithson, saved by Reimer4v5
  61. P3 16:25Shot by Goc, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 17:05Shot by Steckel, saved by Theodore
  63. P3 17:09Shot by Brown, saved by Theodore
  64. P3 17:16Garrison: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Brown, Kessel, Frattin, Schenn, Gardiner · FLA Campbell, Goc, Fleischmann, Skille, Garrison

  65. P3 17:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Theodore5v4
  66. P3 17:22Goal by Lupul (Kessel, Phaneuf)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak · FLA Smithson, Weaver, Weiss, Ellerby

  67. P3 17:57Shot by Kessel, saved by Theodore6v5
  68. P3 19:31Shot by Kulemin, saved by Theodore6v5
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final