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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 28, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Florida Panthers 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Samuelsson–Weiss–BergenheimGoc–Fleischmann–SkilleWolski–Santorelli–MatthiasMadden–Barch–SmithsonGoc–Fleischmann–WolskiMadden–Smithson–MatthiasMadden–Wolski–SantorelliSmithson–Santorelli–MatthiasWeaver–EllerbyCampbell–GarrisonJovanovski–Gudbranson
Lupul–Kessel–Bozak3:160.06–0.373:000.00–0.220:390.00–0.003:550.06–0.124:160.00–0.530:310.02–0.01
MacArthur–Grabovski–Frattin1:060.00–0.001:350.03–0.081:150.00–0.022:330.24–0.000:510.00–0.002:320.24–0.023:110.03–0.002:000.00–0.08
Connolly–Lombardi–Kulemin2:580.12–0.001:020.07–0.001:080.01–0.002:120.12–0.001:560.07–0.13
Steckel–Crabb–Brown0:570.00–0.001:040.11–0.000:420.02–0.001:380.05–0.052:170.10–0.00
MacArthur–Grabovski–Kulemin0:480.00–0.020:440.00–0.000:490.12–0.000:300.00–0.001:470.16–0.000:480.00–0.020:430.00–0.00
Connolly–Lupul–Kessel1:070.00–0.040:550.00–0.040:390.00–0.00
Lombardi–Kulemin–Bozak0:510.02–0.000:480.02–0.00
Kessel–Frattin–Bozak0:460.00–0.001:230.00–0.00
Connolly–Lombardi–Crabb0:520.02–0.011:020.02–0.00
Connolly–Crabb–Lupul0:410.00–0.01
Liles–Komisarek2:310.03–0.192:220.00–0.041:440.24–0.000:390.00–0.001:020.07–0.004:270.28–0.042:330.05–0.112:350.05–0.21
Schenn–Gardiner1:250.02–0.132:060.31–0.151:190.00–0.041:220.11–0.015:120.02–0.201:400.31–0.212:330.15–0.01
Phaneuf–Gunnarsson5:570.40–0.300:310.00–0.020:350.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:110.00–0.002:570.06–0.004:350.29–0.271:300.05–0.00
Phaneuf–Gardiner0:520.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:520.16–0.001:380.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Liles–Phaneuf0:570.02–0.000:320.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:230.02–0.000:530.02–0.00
Gunnarsson–Gardiner0:410.03–0.02
Liles–Gunnarsson0:350.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Gunnarsson–Schenn0:470.01–0.000:370.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLupul FBozak FKessel FMacArthur FFrattin FGrabovski FKulemin FConnolly FLombardi FBrown FSteckel FCrabb FSchenn DGardiner DPhaneuf DGunnarsson DLiles DKomisarek DReimer GWolski FFleischmann FGoc FWeiss FBergenheim FSamuelsson FSmithson FMadden FBarch FMatthias FSkille FSantorelli FEllerby DWeaver DCampbell DGarrison DGudbranson DJovanovski DTheodore G
TORFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mike WeaverFLA3024:510:501:3107
Dion PhaneufTOR3224:140:451:5083
Jake GardinerTOR3023:540:481:3321
Brian CampbellFLA2822:570:491:1833
John-Michael LilesTOR2822:320:481:3452
Jason GarrisonFLA2722:310:501:2933
Phil KesselTOR2321:170:561:2841
Keaton EllerbyFLA2821:020:451:3115
Carl GunnarssonTOR3020:310:411:1225
Stephen WeissFLA2620:010:461:1836
Joffrey LupulTOR2319:330:511:3650
Tyler BozakTOR2419:300:491:3443
Mikhail GrabovskiTOR2118:580:541:4441
Sean BergenheimFLA2418:320:461:1532
Tim ConnollyTOR2417:180:431:0941
Mikael SamuelssonFLA2116:370:471:1032
Clarke MacArthurTOR2015:430:471:1532
Nikolay KuleminTOR2315:370:411:1622
Marcel GocFLA2215:370:431:1205
Shawn MatthiasFLA2015:020:451:1602
Mike KomisarekTOR2315:010:391:1714
Ed JovanovskiFLA2214:320:401:1630
Wojtek WolskiFLA1814:310:481:2622
Tomas FleischmannFLA2214:270:391:1222
Erik GudbransonFLA2014:140:431:1630
Luke SchennTOR2313:520:361:3211
Mike SantorelliFLA1813:290:451:0920
Jerred SmithsonFLA2113:240:381:1526
John MaddenFLA1612:400:481:2421
Matt FrattinTOR1512:320:501:2321
Jack SkilleFLA2112:030:341:1001
Matthew LombardiTOR1410:340:451:1622
Joey CrabbTOR159:510:391:1723
David SteckelTOR158:520:351:1125
Mike BrownTOR96:100:411:1111
Krys BarchFLA96:100:411:0311