Sat, Mar 3, 2012·Pepsi Center, Denver
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Colorado Avalanche 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 53% of the time.
38%
9%
9%
44%
COL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 23:03 | 0.00 | 23.5% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.07 | 48.6% | +9.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:19 | 0.57 | 40.7% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:24 | 0.00 | 23.2% | +3.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.12 | 45.6% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:12 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.51 | 36.2% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:45 | 0.20 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 17:18 | 0.16 | 46.0% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:36 | 0.44 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:59 | 0.07 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.66 | 47.4% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:20 | 0.26 | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.06 | 33.0% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:57 | 0.18 | 49.5% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:53 | 0.00 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:21 | 0.04 | 16.1% | +15.3 |
| W | 36 | 35 | 1 | .972 | 3.12 | +2.1 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 8 | 20:36 | 0.89 | 62.4% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 2 | 19:37 | 0.07 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.03 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.02 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:15 | 0.26 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:45 | 0.22 | 80.1% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 18:08 | 0.47 | 73.9% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.04 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:44 | 0.08 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.07 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:56 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.13 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:56 | 0.61 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:45 | 0.13 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:36 | 0.07 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:11 | 0.02 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.67 | −1.3 | 58:43 |