Mon, Mar 12, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.
61%
10%
9%
20%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 23:18 | 0.05 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:13 | 0.22 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:33 | 0.34 | 37.9% | +57.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:26 | 0.42 | 38.7% | +57.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:16 | 0.01 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:59 | 0.10 | 11.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.03 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.00 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.00 | 9.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.06 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.01 | 7.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.00 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 15:39 | 0.15 | 47.3% | +43.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.03 | 8.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.03 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:39 | 0.02 | 10.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:07 | 0.05 | 14.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 2.57 | −0.4 | 60:40 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:30 | 0.03 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:59 | 0.02 | 74.3% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:38 | 0.03 | 91.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:05 | 0.17 | 83.7% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:41 | 0.21 | 73.0% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 19:13 | 0.48 | 86.4% | +50.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:48 | 0.19 | 53.1% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:49 | 0.10 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.34 | 86.8% | +50.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:02 | 0.24 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.31 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.10 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.17 | 87.2% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:20 | 0.08 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:15 | 0.12 | 75.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.51 | −0.5 | 62:01 |