Tue, Mar 13, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Boston Bruins 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 58% of the time.
30%
12%
10%
48%
TBL winsBOS wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Bergeron–Marchand–Seguin | Thornton–Campbell–Paille | Rolston–Whitfield–Kelly | Krejci–Lucic–Caron | Krejci–Lucic–Seguin | Bergeron–Marchand–Caron | Rolston–Kelly–Paille | Rolston–Whitfield–Campbell | Whitfield–Thornton–Campbell | Whitfield–Campbell–Caron | Bergeron–Lucic–Caron | Chara–Seidenberg | Corvo–Zanon | Ference–Boychuk | Corvo–Ference | Ference–Seidenberg | Zanon–Seidenberg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos | 1:370.06–0.06 | 1:270.00–0.08 | 1:220.00–0.05 | 1:200.00–0.08 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:210.10–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.03 | 3:550.00–0.12 | 1:230.00–0.08 | 4:380.15–0.09 | |||||||
| Malone–Pyatt–Connolly | 2:180.04–0.11 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:030.02–0.11 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 3:140.06–0.15 | 2:290.00–0.09 | 0:590.04–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||
| Hall–Thompson–Wyman | 1:040.00–0.00 | 2:580.45–0.07 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.07 | 2:550.00–0.00 | 2:030.45–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Malone–Shannon–Wallace | 0:300.00–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.04 | 1:300.02–0.03 | 1:350.02–0.04 | 1:550.00–0.05 | ||||||||||||
| St. Louis–Wallace–Stamkos | 0:450.00–0.05 | 0:480.00–0.05 | |||||||||||||||
| Hall–Wyman–Shannon | 0:490.02–0.02 | 0:490.02–0.02 | |||||||||||||||
| Brewer–Hedman | 1:280.00–0.00 | 2:370.05–0.21 | 1:570.00–0.28 | 1:550.02–0.06 | 2:440.47–0.07 | 0:420.02–0.00 | 1:130.02–0.01 | 1:180.02–0.11 | 7:180.08–0.51 | 3:280.00–0.02 | 4:380.52–0.16 | ||||||
| Clark–Lee | 1:220.06–0.06 | 1:260.00–0.11 | 1:390.00–0.08 | 1:280.00–0.05 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 3:150.00–0.16 | 1:220.00–0.08 | 2:300.08–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:500.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Commodore–Aulie | 1:290.04–0.06 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.01 | 1:170.04–0.04 | 3:080.00–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.03 | ||||||||||
| Lee–Mikkelson | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.03 | 0:450.00–0.13 | 0:310.00–0.03 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.13 | |||||||||
| Commodore–Mikkelson | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.03 | 0:510.10–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.04 | 1:260.00–0.03 | 1:230.10–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Mikkelson–Aulie | 0:460.00–0.05 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.10 | 0:310.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dennis SeidenbergBOS | 29 | 25:33 | 0:53 | 1:56 | 3 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 24:46 | 0:55 | 2:11 | 5 | 5 |
 Zdeno CharaBOS | 27 | 23:30 | 0:52 | 2:47 | 4 | 4 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 23 | 21:34 | 0:56 | 2:00 | 4 | 5 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 25 | 20:33 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 2 | 5 |
 Joe CorvoBOS | 22 | 20:16 | 0:55 | 1:31 | 5 | 0 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 19 | 19:13 | 1:01 | 2:09 | 4 | 1 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 18 | 18:02 | 1:00 | 2:08 | 4 | 0 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 25 | 17:43 | 0:43 | 1:40 | 3 | 5 |
 Andrew FerenceBOS | 24 | 17:27 | 0:44 | 1:55 | 5 | 2 |
 Patrice BergeronBOS | 24 | 17:26 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 6 | 4 |
 Brian LeeTBL | 23 | 17:25 | 0:45 | 2:08 | 3 | 2 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 17 | 17:23 | 1:01 | 2:08 | 4 | 0 |
 Brad MarchandBOS | 22 | 17:23 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 6 | 3 |
 Greg ZanonBOS | 19 | 17:01 | 0:54 | 1:37 | 4 | 0 |
 Milan LucicBOS | 20 | 16:18 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 6 | 0 |
 David KrejciBOS | 20 | 16:04 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 5 | 0 |
 Tyler SeguinBOS | 21 | 15:55 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 4 | 1 |
 Jordan CaronBOS | 21 | 15:50 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 5 | 1 |
 Adam HallTBL | 26 | 15:43 | 0:36 | 1:23 | 1 | 5 |
 Brian RolstonBOS | 23 | 15:28 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 10 | 1 |
 Gregory CampbellBOS | 18 | 15:20 | 0:51 | 2:08 | 2 | 1 |
 JT WymanTBL | 23 | 14:56 | 0:39 | 1:24 | 1 | 5 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 23 | 14:55 | 0:39 | 1:10 | 1 | 4 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 21 | 14:49 | 0:42 | 2:08 | 2 | 4 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 21 | 14:29 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 3 | 3 |
 Brendan MikkelsonTBL | 18 | 14:29 | 0:48 | 2:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Mike CommodoreTBL | 20 | 14:22 | 0:43 | 2:17 | 0 | 3 |
 Trent WhitfieldBOS | 18 | 13:59 | 0:47 | 2:17 | 6 | 1 |
 Johnny BoychukBOS | 18 | 13:41 | 0:46 | 1:55 | 4 | 1 |
 Ryan ShannonTBL | 16 | 12:12 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 2 | 2 |
 Chris KellyBOS | 22 | 11:59 | 0:33 | 1:09 | 5 | 1 |
 Daniel PailleBOS | 19 | 11:48 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 19 | 11:16 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Tim WallaceTBL | 12 | 10:10 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 1 | 0 |
 Shawn ThorntonBOS | 13 | 9:25 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 2 | 0 |