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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 17, 2012·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Minnesota Wild 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 68% of the time.

MIN winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

MIN forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

LaRose–Staal–TlustyRuutu–Staal–TlustyDwyer–Nodl–SutterJokinen–LaRose–BowmanJokinen–Brent–DwyerRuutu–Jokinen–SutterRuutu–Sutter–BowmanRuutu–Jokinen–BrentBrent–Stewart–TlustyRuutu–Jokinen–StaalDwyer–Sutter–BowmanBrent–Stewart–NodlLaRose–Staal–BowmanJokinen–Stewart–SutterLaRose–Brent–TlustyBrent–Dwyer–NodlHarrison–FaulkAllen–GleasonSpacek–McBainGleason–McBainAllen–McBainAllen–Faulk
Heatley–Brodziak–Johnson3:480.00–1.111:440.01–0.031:160.00–0.001:300.00–0.040:450.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:310.16–0.006:130.02–0.193:550.16–0.072:030.21–0.471:430.00–0.540:440.00–0.00
Cullen–Clutterbuck–Powe0:310.00–0.002:080.00–0.091:390.01–0.022:050.03–0.011:350.03–0.001:190.00–0.050:330.07–0.020:320.00–0.043:020.13–0.042:090.07–0.022:110.10–0.042:330.00–0.091:260.00–0.010:420.01–0.00
Christensen–Setoguchi–Palmieri0:350.00–0.051:070.01–0.000:470.00–0.010:330.00–0.002:030.02–0.092:080.01–0.011:190.00–0.05
Peters–Veilleux–Ortmeyer0:460.00–0.001:390.00–0.020:370.00–0.012:340.03–0.001:480.02–0.021:220.00–0.000:370.00–0.01
Heatley–Brodziak–Setoguchi0:320.00–0.000:320.02–0.00
Scandella–Spurgeon4:080.02–0.473:330.01–0.091:340.01–0.021:350.00–0.010:480.07–0.001:010.00–0.001:120.22–0.000:470.00–0.020:350.05–0.000:310.16–0.006:170.13–0.045:490.40–0.053:260.00–0.550:590.00–0.051:180.05–0.001:030.07–0.00
Gilbert–Stoner1:140.00–0.051:250.00–0.002:160.01–0.021:550.03–0.011:060.03–0.001:210.00–0.050:370.00–0.002:030.07–0.061:140.00–0.000:320.00–0.040:450.00–0.014:360.04–0.084:190.03–0.093:400.10–0.073:030.00–0.060:540.00–0.010:340.01–0.00
Kampfer–Prosser0:490.00–0.001:220.01–0.001:170.00–0.000:420.00–0.002:400.00–0.142:550.12–0.001:580.21–0.001:020.00–0.00
Gilbert–Kampfer0:520.00–0.001:540.03–0.00
Kampfer–Scandella0:570.14–0.000:370.00–0.01
Stoner–Scandella0:500.00–0.540:320.00–0.000:420.00–0.54
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCullen FPowe FClutterbuck FHeatley FBrodziak FJohnson FSetoguchi FPalmieri FChristensen FOrtmeyer FVeilleux FPeters FScandella DSpurgeon DStoner DGilbert DKampfer DProsser DHackett GStaal FRuutu FTlusty FLaRose FBowman FJokinen FSutter FStewart FBrent FDwyer FNodl FMcBain DFaulk DGleason DAllen DJoslin DHarrison DSpacek DBoucher G
MINCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Marco ScandellaMIN3225:080:471:4040
Justin FaulkCAR3525:030:431:3145
Tim GleasonCAR3023:040:461:2854
Jay HarrisonCAR3322:400:411:3145
Tom GilbertMIN3622:320:381:3854
Jared SpurgeonMIN3122:280:431:2451
Kyle BrodziakMIN2721:510:491:2282
Eric StaalCAR3121:390:421:2645
Bryan AllenCAR2520:380:501:4924
Dany HeatleyMIN2720:260:451:3591
Clayton StonerMIN2819:430:421:3833
Nick JohnsonMIN2119:140:551:3531
Jiri TlustyCAR3219:120:361:0654
Chad LaRoseCAR2618:440:431:1442
Jamie McBainCAR2618:350:431:4441
Matt CullenMIN2318:030:471:2914
Jussi JokinenCAR3418:000:321:0944
Cal ClutterbuckMIN2417:550:451:3514
Steven KampferMIN2617:400:411:1534
Tim BrentCAR2616:420:391:2053
Tuomo RuutuCAR2516:300:401:0643
Brandon SutterCAR2716:000:361:2014
Devin SetoguchiMIN2314:480:391:1163
Darroll PoweMIN2114:420:421:1413
Drayson BowmanCAR2213:560:381:0021
Erik ChristensenMIN2013:460:411:0833
Patrick DwyerCAR2012:370:381:2011
Nate ProsserMIN1912:300:391:0533
Andreas NodlCAR1810:520:361:2001
Nick PalmieriMIN1510:150:410:5411
Stephane VeilleuxMIN1610:040:381:0610
Jaroslav SpacekCAR129:400:481:1601
Anthony StewartCAR159:290:381:2011
Warren PetersMIN179:020:320:5511
Jed OrtmeyerMIN148:110:351:0910
Derek JoslinCAR63:180:331:0300