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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 27, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ruutu–Jokinen–SkinnerDwyer–Sutter–BowmanLaRose–Staal–TlustyLaRose–Staal–SkinnerRuutu–Staal–SkinnerPitkanen–McBainAllen–GleasonHarrison–FaulkHarrison–McBainAllen–Faulk
Connolly–Steckel–Crabb1:350.08–0.020:340.00–0.004:130.25–0.012:190.10–0.014:170.15–0.101:090.06–0.02
Kessel–Bozak–Ashton1:450.08–0.102:130.00–0.183:360.11–0.210:370.00–0.091:410.11–0.00
MacArthur–Grabovski–Frattin4:320.08–0.101:450.08–0.003:010.00–0.04
Lombardi–Kessel–Bozak0:540.00–0.021:310.00–0.011:260.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:520.07–0.01
MacArthur–Grabovski–Brown0:400.00–0.110:340.05–0.001:260.01–0.000:360.12–0.021:370.05–0.000:510.01–0.00
MacArthur–Kessel–Bozak1:200.00–0.110:490.00–0.110:460.00–0.00
Lombardi–Rosehill–Brown1:050.05–0.000:340.00–0.000:590.02–0.000:390.03–0.00
Lombardi–Rosehill–Frattin1:140.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Grabovski–Frattin–Ashton1:060.02–0.001:300.00–0.00
Rosehill–Grabovski–Brown
Liles–Schenn4:010.13–0.205:230.05–0.185:410.29–0.222:490.02–0.073:270.03–0.00
Franson–Gardiner5:580.10–0.142:330.07–0.130:320.02–0.023:470.07–0.022:170.07–0.133:460.05–0.08
Phaneuf–Gunnarsson1:110.03–0.001:090.00–0.007:290.29–0.030:320.00–0.003:180.06–0.015:530.15–0.131:480.14–0.040:550.01–0.00
Phaneuf–Gardiner0:450.03–0.010:400.00–0.000:450.00–0.050:390.03–0.00
Liles–Gardiner
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMacArthur FFrattin FGrabovski FSteckel FCrabb FConnolly FAshton FBozak FKessel FLombardi FBrown FRosehill FFranson DGardiner DPhaneuf DGunnarsson DSchenn DLiles DGustavsson GRynnas GRuutu FJokinen FSkinner FTlusty FStaal FLaRose FSutter FBowman FDwyer FStewart FBrent FFaulk DHarrison DAllen DGleason DMcBain DPitkanen DJoslin DWard G
TORCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake GardinerTOR2723:130:521:3812
Justin FaulkCAR2721:330:481:5240
John-Michael LilesTOR2621:180:491:4444
Tyler BozakTOR2320:510:541:2554
Dion PhaneufTOR2520:490:501:2033
Joni PitkanenCAR2520:310:491:3333
Phil KesselTOR2320:130:531:2454
Bryan AllenCAR2820:070:431:2916
Jamie McBainCAR2219:410:541:3632
Luke SchennTOR2519:120:461:3253
Eric StaalCAR2518:440:451:1031
Tim GleasonCAR2718:280:411:2916
Carl GunnarssonTOR2318:110:471:4214
Mikhail GrabovskiTOR2318:100:471:5732
Cody FransonTOR2517:460:431:1412
Jay HarrisonCAR2617:230:401:0930
Jeff SkinnerCAR2217:190:471:3513
Jiri TlustyCAR2416:420:421:1040
Tuomo RuutuCAR2216:350:451:2612
Chad LaRoseCAR2216:100:441:1041
Clarke MacArthurTOR2016:050:481:2813
Matthew LombardiTOR2215:510:431:3633
Tim BrentCAR2015:010:451:2250
Brandon SutterCAR2414:570:371:0136
Joey CrabbTOR2214:290:401:0812
Jussi JokinenCAR2314:270:381:0913
David SteckelTOR2114:170:411:3322
Patrick DwyerCAR2314:110:371:0545
Tim ConnollyTOR2013:350:411:2810
Drayson BowmanCAR1912:420:401:0343
Carter AshtonTOR1511:440:471:1632
Matt FrattinTOR1711:050:391:0740
Anthony StewartCAR1710:460:381:0020
Derek JoslinCAR1710:430:381:0321
Mike BrownTOR1510:340:421:1722
Jay RosehillTOR138:370:401:0240