Tue, Mar 27, 2012·Verizon Center, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 5, Washington Capitals 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 67% of the time.
60%
26%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 28:23 | 0.00 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:29 | 0.02 | 40.5% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:04 | 0.03 | 54.9% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:08 | 0.02 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.08 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 20:17 | 0.33 | 33.5% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:00 | 0.37 | 54.4% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.11 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 17:34 | 0.88 | 64.6% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:58 | 0.27 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 14:36 | 0.79 | 57.2% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.15 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:26 | 0.00 | 49.6% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.23 | 69.3% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:22 | 0.00 | 23.5% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.10 | 17.1% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:07 | 0.00 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 5:46 | 0.02 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 45 | 44 | 1 | .978 | 4.58 | +3.6 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 25:07 | 0.35 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 24:18 | 0.13 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.11 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:54 | 0.47 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:45 | 0.05 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:09 | 0.03 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.82 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 18:04 | 0.30 | 36.8% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:06 | 0.46 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 16:16 | 0.00 | 45.2% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:44 | 0.11 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.32 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.47 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 13:42 | 0.66 | 40.2% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.03 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 0.28 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:07 | 0.00 | 2.2% | 0.0 |
| – | 13 | 11 | 2 | .846 | 1.20 | −0.8 | 37:29 | |
| L | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 2.19 | −0.8 | 22:31 |