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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 29, 2012·Prudential Center, Newark

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New Jersey Devils 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 78% of the time.

NJD winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NJD forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Malone–StamkosLecavalier–Wyman–PurcellMalone–Pyatt–ConnollyWyman–Smith–ConnollySt. Louis–Smith–StamkosPyatt–Smith–ConnollySt. Louis–Lecavalier–PurcellLecavalier–Pyatt–PurcellSegal–Wallace–StamkosSegal–Wyman–WallaceLecavalier–Purcell–ConnollySegal–Wallace–SmithSegal–Pyatt–WallaceMalone–Segal–WallaceLecavalier–Wyman–SmithBrewer–HedmanLee–MikkelsonGervais–MikkelsonClark–LeeGervais–AulieBrewer–AulieClark–GervaisMikkelson–AulieLee–HedmanLee–AulieClark–MikkelsonClark–HedmanClark–AulieBrewer–Gervais
Kovalchuk–Parise–Zajac2:570.03–0.103:040.02–0.010:460.00–0.001:030.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:020.13–0.004:310.18–0.050:580.00–0.001:180.00–0.001:380.00–0.001:000.00–0.010:460.00–0.000:560.07–0.00
Sykora–Elias–Zubrus1:220.00–0.121:300.07–0.001:460.05–0.081:080.33–0.001:090.05–0.001:210.10–0.000:410.00–0.004:140.17–0.142:210.38–0.001:160.00–0.080:490.00–0.000:340.05–0.00
Ponikarovsky–Clarkson–Henrique0:540.14–0.000:380.00–0.002:350.48–0.121:550.02–0.000:300.01–0.000:500.04–0.001:070.01–0.001:560.04–0.001:050.00–0.120:540.48–0.001:190.00–0.100:400.02–0.000:410.14–0.000:380.00–0.00
Bernier–Carter–Josefson0:400.00–0.000:430.10–0.000:490.00–0.000:580.08–0.000:500.00–0.000:430.00–0.051:090.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:410.08–0.051:020.10–0.000:390.00–0.001:250.01–0.000:530.05–0.000:520.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Kovalchuk–Clarkson–Zajac0:510.00–0.020:380.07–0.02
Salvador–Zidlicky2:360.31–0.223:170.02–0.000:550.48–0.000:450.00–0.000:590.05–0.000:330.01–0.001:070.00–0.021:040.10–0.000:410.00–0.000:330.00–0.005:420.16–0.140:500.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:530.00–0.001:230.00–0.001:340.53–0.001:000.05–0.100:550.18–0.100:460.00–0.000:430.00–0.02
Greene–Harrold1:290.02–0.001:000.05–0.011:080.04–0.000:430.00–0.001:080.05–0.000:510.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:360.00–0.001:390.06–0.012:150.07–0.000:350.00–0.001:520.01–0.000:490.00–0.100:430.00–0.000:550.04–0.000:360.02–0.00
Volchenkov–Fayne1:100.00–0.001:290.06–0.001:220.00–0.001:020.08–0.000:310.00–0.051:040.04–0.002:010.08–0.072:160.04–0.001:050.00–0.000:590.09–0.000:430.07–0.000:570.00–0.00
Fayne–Greene1:160.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:580.00–0.001:230.00–0.080:440.00–0.050:490.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:380.13–0.002:010.13–0.001:440.00–0.081:070.00–0.000:440.00–0.050:510.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Volchenkov–Harrold2:290.10–0.120:510.31–0.000:340.00–0.001:140.02–0.041:350.41–0.001:000.00–0.120:340.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Salvador–Volchenkov
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndZubrus FSykora FElias FZajac FParise FKovalchuk FHenrique FPonikarovsky FClarkson FJosefson FBernier FCarter FGreene DFayne DZidlicky DSalvador DHarrold DVolchenkov DBrodeur GMalone FSt. Louis FStamkos FPurcell FLecavalier FWyman FPyatt FConnolly FWallace FSegal FSmith FClark DLee DHedman DBrewer DGervais DMikkelson DAulie DRoloson GCaron G
NJDTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Bryce SalvadorNJD2521:310:521:4803
Victor HedmanTBL2721:120:471:4431
Marek ZidlickyNJD2621:090:491:4831
Ilya KovalchukNJD2320:330:542:5282
Andy GreeneNJD2820:230:441:3351
Eric BrewerTBL2620:150:471:4412
Martin St. LouisTBL2519:260:472:1430
Steven StamkosTBL2519:130:461:2011
Zach PariseNJD2518:560:451:1674
Brendan MikkelsonTBL2218:330:511:4125
Peter HarroldNJD2218:270:501:3623
Anton VolchenkovNJD2318:180:481:2502
Ryan MaloneTBL2418:140:461:2022
Brett ConnollyTBL2017:570:541:4914
Mark FayneNJD2417:530:451:4121
Vincent LecavalierTBL1917:380:561:4443
Travis ZajacNJD2317:150:451:1562
Patrik EliasNJD2316:590:441:3920
Tom PyattTBL2216:580:461:2515
JT WymanTBL2016:560:511:3834
Brian LeeTBL1916:390:531:1921
Brett ClarkTBL2216:190:451:3706
Trevor SmithTBL1616:011:002:1703
Teddy PurcellTBL1815:530:531:4441
David ClarksonNJD1815:460:531:3210
Adam HenriqueNJD1914:510:471:3811
Alexei PonikarovskyNJD1814:300:481:3811
Dainius ZubrusNJD2014:140:431:1010
Petr SykoraNJD1913:150:421:1000
Bruno GervaisTBL1912:470:401:3724
Keith AulieTBL1711:580:421:2512
Jacob JosefsonNJD1711:360:410:5931
Steve BernierNJD1510:060:401:0421
Tim WallaceTBL139:330:441:2101
Ryan CarterNJD149:190:401:1010
Brandon SegalTBL118:220:461:0700