Mon, Apr 2, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Washington Capitals 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.
52%
10%
9%
29%
TBL winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25:52 | 0.11 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:29 | 0.06 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 22:12 | 0.34 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:06 | 0.02 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:41 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:39 | 0.00 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.28 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.17 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:48 | 0.18 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.07 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 14:11 | 0.23 | 84.9% | +62.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.03 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:19 | 0.13 | 77.9% | +24.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 11:41 | 0.16 | 73.1% | +37.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.02 | 93.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:36 | 0.13 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | 0.16 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 1.96 | −1.0 | 59:19 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 26:49 | 0.08 | 51.1% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 26:45 | 0.01 | 52.3% | +2.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 23:59 | 1.04 | 43.7% | +71.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:07 | 0.12 | 46.8% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:29 | 0.03 | 56.0% | +42.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:11 | 0.00 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:51 | 0.42 | 55.9% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:07 | 0.10 | 58.2% | +42.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.00 | 59.5% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.02 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 16:04 | 0.33 | 34.4% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.12 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.01 | 14.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11:45 | 0.25 | 83.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:00 | 0.12 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:35 | 0.00 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:22 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.08 | +0.1 | 59:53 |