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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 2, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Washington Capitals 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.

TBL winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ovechkin–Backstrom–JohanssonChimera–Semin–PerreaultLaich–Brouwer–BeagleKnuble–Hendricks–AucoinKnuble–Hendricks–BeagleLaich–Aucoin–BrouwerAucoin–Ovechkin–BackstromLaich–Ovechkin–BrouwerOvechkin–Brouwer–BackstromHamrlik–GreenWideman–AlznerCarlson–OrlovHamrlik–WidemanGreen–CarlsonGreen–Alzner
Thompson–Wyman–Pyatt6:240.26–0.171:040.00–0.000:400.00–0.001:010.05–0.005:500.28–0.221:150.00–0.033:060.02–0.000:400.00–0.01
St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos1:040.00–0.001:030.00–0.022:030.02–0.161:120.00–0.041:010.00–0.082:260.00–0.114:260.02–0.23
St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos1:150.18–0.100:390.07–0.030:540.00–0.000:520.08–0.181:340.10–0.120:540.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Malone–Brown2:230.08–0.050:450.04–0.020:430.00–0.000:430.00–0.05
Lecavalier–Purcell–Brown0:420.01–0.001:050.02–0.011:090.02–0.010:540.00–0.00
St. Louis–Stamkos–Brown0:450.00–0.001:350.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Purcell–Connolly0:530.00–0.011:460.00–0.01
Segal–Wallace–Connolly0:420.00–0.100:550.00–0.10
Lecavalier–Malone–Connolly1:040.00–0.070:340.00–0.03
Brewer–Hedman5:150.23–0.114:000.04–0.131:540.11–0.161:590.01–0.020:330.00–0.041:080.00–0.005:390.32–0.046:140.02–0.253:090.00–0.090:400.00–0.01
Clark–Lee2:550.14–0.041:150.01–0.042:230.23–0.001:010.00–0.010:390.00–0.011:010.00–0.080:590.00–0.001:010.05–0.006:130.05–0.263:370.25–0.012:200.14–0.040:370.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Mikkelson–Aulie0:390.00–0.092:230.00–0.081:530.00–0.101:560.02–0.202:230.02–0.151:410.00–0.131:330.00–0.100:580.06–0.04
Clark–Aulie1:030.00–0.18
Lee–Mikkelson0:310.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMalone FSt. Louis FStamkos FPyatt FWyman FThompson FLecavalier FPurcell FBrown FWallace FSegal FConnolly FClark DLee DBrewer DHedman DAulie DMikkelson DRoloson GBrouwer FLaich FAucoin FOvechkin FBackstrom FJohansson FChimera FSemin FPerreault FKnuble FHendricks FBeagle FHamrlik DGreen DCarlson DOrlov DWideman DAlzner DNeuvirth G
TBLWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2626:491:022:2349
Eric BrewerTBL2726:450:591:4648
Mike GreenWSH2825:520:551:4893
Steven StamkosTBL2223:591:052:2324
Dennis WidemanWSH3023:290:471:5626
Alex OvechkinWSH2022:121:072:0341
Martin St. LouisTBL2222:071:002:2344
Roman HamrlikWSH2422:060:551:3973
Brett ClarkTBL2920:290:421:3058
Nicklas BackstromWSH2319:410:511:2251
Karl AlznerWSH3119:390:381:2516
Ryan MaloneTBL2119:110:552:2335
Tom PyattTBL2218:510:511:2929
Marcus JohanssonWSH1918:190:581:2371
Brian LeeTBL2618:070:421:5327
Nate ThompsonTBL2317:180:451:2929
Troy BrouwerWSH2117:040:491:3331
Brooks LaichWSH2616:480:391:2745
Vincent LecavalierTBL2116:090:461:4336
Teddy PurcellTBL1916:040:511:4363
JT WymanTBL2015:270:461:2924
Jay BeagleWSH2114:260:411:4534
Alexander SeminWSH1814:110:471:1651
John CarlsonWSH1712:500:451:1231
Mathieu PerreaultWSH1712:190:431:1640
Keith AulieTBL1812:110:411:1602
Brendan MikkelsonTBL2011:580:361:1613
JT BrownTBL1511:450:471:2721
Jason ChimeraWSH1711:410:411:1650
Dmitry OrlovWSH1611:300:431:1331
Keith AucoinWSH1311:090:511:2460
Matt HendricksWSH1510:360:421:2150
Mike KnubleWSH1210:110:511:2960
Brett ConnollyTBL129:000:451:0413
Tim WallaceTBL105:350:340:5603
Brandon SegalTBL64:220:441:2401