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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 19, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Washington Capitals 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.

TBL winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ribeiro–Wolski–BrouwerOvechkin–Backstrom–JohanssonChimera–Ward–BeagleHendricks–Ovechkin–BackstromChimera–Hendricks–BeagleWard–Hendricks–PerreaultBrouwer–Perreault–JohanssonAlzner–CarlsonHamrlik–GreenPoti–GreenHamrlik–SchultzPoti–SchultzSchultz–HillenGreen–AlznerSchultz–Green
St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos4:080.00–0.061:560.08–0.001:180.10–0.001:080.00–0.006:390.21–0.040:530.00–0.020:540.08–0.00
Hall–Crombeen–Thompson1:080.03–0.133:190.10–0.100:460.00–0.020:540.00–0.011:090.00–0.101:540.00–0.042:200.13–0.221:000.00–0.02
Lecavalier–Pouliot–Purcell1:230.00–0.001:200.00–0.000:440.28–0.001:020.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Purcell–Conacher1:000.04–0.070:410.00–0.040:550.07–0.040:410.00–0.04
Lecavalier–Pouliot–Pyatt0:490.00–0.05
Pouliot–Pyatt–Conacher0:480.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Pyatt–Conacher1:030.01–0.00
Pyatt–Stamkos–Conacher0:330.00–0.020:330.00–0.02
Salo–Hedman0:360.00–0.005:580.32–0.200:510.00–0.001:450.01–0.002:500.00–0.022:410.01–0.031:430.18–0.141:250.14–0.030:390.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Brewer–Carle4:350.00–0.050:540.00–0.021:410.00–0.030:410.00–0.015:090.00–0.050:330.00–0.011:350.00–0.031:010.09–0.00
Lee–Aulie1:380.04–0.130:520.10–0.042:100.10–0.020:330.00–0.001:510.10–0.000:430.00–0.001:150.04–0.130:300.10–0.000:400.00–0.04
Bergeron–Lee0:320.00–0.000:540.00–0.000:330.00–0.040:520.00–0.001:000.00–0.04
Carle–Lee0:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.020:400.00–0.020:500.00–0.01
Brewer–Aulie1:140.02–0.020:520.02–0.02
Bergeron–Aulie0:300.04–0.040:550.28–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMalone FSt. Louis FStamkos FHall FThompson FPyatt FCrombeen FLecavalier FPurcell FConacher FPouliot FSalo DHedman DBrewer DCarle DAulie DLee DBergeron DLindback GOvechkin FBackstrom FJohansson FBrouwer FRibeiro FWolski FWard FHendricks FChimera FBeagle FPerreault FHamrlik DGreen DCarlson DAlzner DPoti DSchultz DHillen DHoltby G
TBLWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mike GreenWSH2926:570:562:0143
John CarlsonWSH2825:020:541:5309
Alex OvechkinWSH2523:350:572:3743
Steven StamkosTBL2623:150:541:49104
Karl AlznerWSH2722:310:501:2819
Sami SaloTBL3522:230:381:5284
Martin St. LouisTBL2621:020:491:39104
Troy BrouwerWSH2721:010:471:2658
Matt CarleTBL2721:000:471:5476
Nicklas BackstromWSH2319:570:522:0843
Victor HedmanTBL3019:520:401:2235
Ryan MaloneTBL2319:410:511:39112
Eric BrewerTBL2518:180:441:5465
Mike RibeiroWSH2618:110:421:2939
Vincent LecavalierTBL2517:370:421:4172
Marcus JohanssonWSH2217:150:471:3863
Jay BeagleWSH2615:450:361:4326
Teddy PurcellTBL1915:220:491:5080
Wojtek WolskiWSH2014:420:441:2925
Tom PyattTBL2014:080:421:3351
Nate ThompsonTBL2313:540:361:2337
Cory ConacherTBL2013:500:421:1771
Joel WardWSH2113:370:391:2323
Benoit PouliotTBL2313:300:351:1652
Brian LeeTBL2213:250:371:1033
Tom PotiWSH1913:200:421:1105
Matt HendricksWSH2013:100:401:3625
Adam HallTBL1912:420:401:2326
Roman HamrlikWSH1512:360:501:5010
Jason ChimeraWSH2212:130:331:1123
B.J. CrombeenTBL1711:160:401:2121
Keith AulieTBL1910:100:320:5351
Jeff SchultzWSH109:150:561:5001
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL138:470:411:1041
Mathieu PerreaultWSH53:520:461:2300
Jack HillenWSH63:290:351:0000