Thu, Feb 14, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Carolina Hurricanes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 80% of the time.
72%
14%
CAR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:16 | 0.03 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 23:59 | 0.01 | 22.2% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:14 | 0.85 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22:31 | 0.57 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:03 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:03 | 0.04 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:07 | 0.01 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.08 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:45 | 0.00 | 24.4% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.06 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.36 | 25.7% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.01 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.03 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.10 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:02 | 0.04 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:13 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.46 | +0.5 | 57:35 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27:45 | 0.04 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:26 | 0.00 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:51 | 0.26 | 80.8% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 21:21 | 0.76 | 80.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.49 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:30 | 0.32 | 80.2% | +50.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:46 | 0.06 | 83.4% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.15 | 51.8% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.76 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:04 | 0.24 | 59.2% | +40.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:14 | 0.58 | 66.9% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.13 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.00 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.02 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:02 | 0.14 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.01 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.09 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:03 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 2.20 | +1.2 | 60:00 |