Thu, Feb 14, 2013·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Colorado Avalanche 4, Minnesota Wild 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 64% of the time.
26%
10%
9%
54%
MIN winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:58 | 0.05 | 73.7% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:06 | 0.52 | 67.5% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:41 | 0.05 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:21 | 0.23 | 74.0% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:01 | 0.02 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.25 | 46.5% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:28 | 0.35 | 67.8% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:22 | 0.02 | 65.1% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:44 | 0.18 | 51.0% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:06 | 0.10 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.13 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.35 | 73.9% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:58 | 0.18 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.04 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:15 | 0.14 | 57.7% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:35 | 0.02 | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:11 | 0.00 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:48 | 0.00 | 11.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 1.89 | −1.1 | 64:56 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 26:12 | 0.03 | 50.1% | +36.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:24 | 0.05 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:55 | 0.01 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 22:51 | 0.12 | 61.3% | +57.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 22:38 | 0.30 | 55.2% | +57.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 | 22:00 | 0.52 | 57.6% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.04 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.01 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.02 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.00 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.04 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.02 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:37 | 0.03 | 60.8% | +24.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:45 | 0.67 | 71.9% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:46 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:43 | 0.00 | 7.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:18 | 0.02 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.63 | −0.4 | 65:00 |