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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 19, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Dion PhaneufD · #3000−1327:340.0645.3%0.0
Carl GunnarssonD · #360000123:370.0263.7%0.0
Tyler BozakC · #420110019:470.0943.8%+0.7
Phil KesselRW · #810110119:180.1450.1%+0.7
Clarke MacArthurLW · #16011+1118:570.3570.0%+20.1
Korbinian HolzerD · #55000−2018:560.0041.1%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #211010418:320.1543.8%+0.7
Michael KostkaD · #530000317:400.1165.1%0.0
Mark FraserD · #450000116:350.0128.8%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #430000616:210.2860.0%0.0
Nikolay KuleminLW · #410110116:040.2560.6%+20.1
Mikhail GrabovskiC · #841010215:320.3960.7%+20.1
Cody FransonD · #4000+1215:190.0278.7%0.0
Jay McClementC · #11000−1015:010.0411.3%0.0
Leo KomarovRW · #47000−1011:440.1558.1%0.0
Colton OrrRW · #280000011:400.0054.6%0.0
Frazer McLarenLW · #38000−104:250.000.0%0.0
Mike BrownRW · #18000−104:110.000.0%0.0
Ben Scrivens#30L1394.6921.16−2.846:58
Jussi Rynnas#40–6601.0000.56+0.610:20

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Steven StamkosC · #91101+1123:350.2969.2%+22.2
Sami SaloD · #6000+1322:400.1168.1%0.0
Matt CarleD · #25101−1122:280.0819.7%+2.9
Vincent LecavalierC · #41010222:010.2036.8%+18.1
Martin St. LouisRW · #260110121:330.2146.5%+18.1
Victor HedmanD · #77011+1020:040.4767.0%+2.9
Teddy PurcellLW · #16000−1217:440.1856.6%0.0
Eric BrewerD · #2000+2117:180.0156.4%0.0
Benoit PouliotLW · #67033+2116:310.1642.9%+43.1
Nate ThompsonC · #440000115:030.0440.5%0.0
Cory ConacherC · #890110014:560.0950.2%+22.2
Tom PyattLW · #11000−1014:460.0033.8%0.0
Alex KillornLW · #17101+1313:550.1551.5%+12.1
Marc-Andre BergeronD · #47000−1011:200.0328.5%0.0
Richard PanikRW · #710000110:200.0547.3%0.0
Keith AulieD · #30000110:010.0662.0%0.0
B.J. CrombeenRW · #19011+109:580.0344.5%+12.1
Brian LeeD · #15000019:560.0357.2%0.0
Anders Lindback#39W25232.9202.08+0.159:51