Tue, Feb 19, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.
42%
11%
9%
37%
TBL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak | Orr–MacArthur–Kadri | Grabovski–Komarov–Kulemin | MacArthur–Grabovski–Kulemin | McClement–Brown–McLaren | McClement–Grabovski–Kulemin | Gunnarsson–Kostka | Phaneuf–Holzer | Franson–Fraser | Phaneuf–Fraser | Phaneuf–Kostka | Fraser–Gunnarsson | Holzer–Gunnarsson | Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Pouliot | 2:140.08–0.12 | 3:450.00–0.18 | 0:510.05–0.00 | 1:580.07–0.11 | 6:120.20–0.14 | 1:540.00–0.18 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Purcell–Stamkos–Conacher | 3:330.00–0.06 | 0:590.09–0.00 | 0:320.07–0.00 | 0:560.08–0.04 | 3:190.00–0.04 | 0:570.15–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Thompson–Pyatt–Killorn | 2:340.04–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:380.01–0.09 | 1:310.01–0.00 | 1:470.05–0.00 | 2:390.04–0.09 | ||||||||
| Crombeen–Stamkos–Panik | 0:500.02–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.10 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Crombeen–Thompson–Panik | 1:100.03–0.01 | 1:190.03–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Pyatt–Purcell–Stamkos | 0:580.00–0.03 | 0:580.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Salo–Hedman | 8:310.32–0.18 | 1:220.02–0.05 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:300.07–0.00 | 0:340.08–0.00 | 2:350.09–0.02 | 5:330.25–0.16 | 1:480.06–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||
| Brewer–Carle | 0:590.05–0.02 | 2:410.00–0.06 | 1:510.05–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.09 | 3:350.11–0.04 | 2:030.00–0.02 | 2:060.00–0.09 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Lee–Aulie | 3:050.07–0.05 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:560.08–0.04 | 0:390.03–0.03 | 0:540.00–0.02 | 1:220.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Bergeron–Aulie | 1:100.01–0.09 | 0:580.06–0.00 | 0:450.05–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.09 | ||||||||||
| Bergeron–Lee | 0:420.00–0.08 | 1:250.09–0.03 | 1:150.00–0.08 | 0:330.09–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Bergeron–Carle | 0:320.00–0.10 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.11 | |||||||||||
| Brewer–Hedman | 0:440.00–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Carle–Lee | 0:560.00–0.02 | 1:030.00–0.07 | ||||||||||||
| Brewer–Bergeron | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 38 | 27:34 | 0:44 | 1:49 | 2 | 8 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 34 | 23:37 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 1 | 3 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 26 | 23:35 | 0:54 | 1:53 | 6 | 3 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 29 | 22:40 | 0:47 | 1:58 | 7 | 6 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 28 | 22:28 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 1 | 1 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 23 | 22:01 | 0:57 | 2:05 | 2 | 3 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 23 | 21:33 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 5 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 20:04 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 2 | 5 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 31 | 19:47 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 6 | 9 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 26 | 19:18 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 5 | 2 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 22 | 18:57 | 0:52 | 1:48 | 3 | 1 |
 Korbinian HolzerTOR | 31 | 18:56 | 0:37 | 1:09 | 3 | 8 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 27 | 18:32 | 0:41 | 2:02 | 6 | 2 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 23 | 17:44 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 8 | 3 |
 Michael KostkaTOR | 28 | 17:40 | 0:38 | 1:44 | 1 | 3 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 23 | 17:18 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 2 | 4 |
 Mark FraserTOR | 25 | 16:35 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 0 | 0 |
 Benoit PouliotTBL | 20 | 16:31 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 3 | 3 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 19 | 16:21 | 0:52 | 1:59 | 4 | 1 |
 Nikolay KuleminTOR | 20 | 16:04 | 0:48 | 1:10 | 1 | 4 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 17 | 15:32 | 0:55 | 3:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Cody FransonTOR | 24 | 15:19 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 3 | 0 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 24 | 15:03 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 1 | 3 |
 Jay McClementTOR | 19 | 15:01 | 0:47 | 1:52 | 1 | 6 |
 Cory ConacherTBL | 20 | 14:56 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 3 | 3 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 21 | 14:46 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 19 | 13:55 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 5 | 2 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 18 | 11:44 | 0:39 | 1:10 | 1 | 5 |
 Colton OrrTOR | 16 | 11:40 | 0:44 | 1:02 | 2 | 1 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronTBL | 14 | 11:20 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 3 | 0 |
 Richard PanikTBL | 14 | 10:20 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 0 | 0 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 16 | 10:01 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 1 | 2 |
 B.J. CrombeenTBL | 15 | 9:58 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 0 | 1 |
 Brian LeeTBL | 16 | 9:56 | 0:37 | 0:59 | 1 | 2 |
 Frazer McLarenTOR | 9 | 4:25 | 0:29 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |
 Mike BrownTOR | 9 | 4:11 | 0:28 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |