Wed, Feb 27, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 63% of the time.
27%
10%
9%
54%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:01 | 0.17 | 29.4% | +20.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:19 | 0.13 | 30.2% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.02 | 38.3% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:46 | 0.11 | 47.0% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.04 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.11 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 17:11 | 0.16 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 16:16 | 0.97 | 71.6% | +34.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.34 | 73.7% | +42.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:10 | 0.15 | 35.7% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.03 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 15:00 | 0.48 | 72.6% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.03 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.08 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.02 | 9.5% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 14.1% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:02 | 0.07 | 16.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.19 | +0.2 | 59:57 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 22:17 | 0.08 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:55 | 0.07 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:11 | 0.02 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.08 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:38 | 0.00 | 84.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18:29 | 0.76 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.01 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.09 | 48.1% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:32 | 0.03 | 90.5% | +22.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:24 | 0.14 | 59.2% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.21 | 86.2% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.06 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.17 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.05 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.09 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 5:47 | 0.32 | 87.5% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2:15 | 0.00 | 100.0% | +19.1 |
| L | 40 | 35 | 5 | .875 | 2.91 | −2.1 | 60:00 |