Mon, Mar 4, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
New Jersey Devils 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
39%
13%
11%
37%
TOR winsNJD wins
New Jersey Devils
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 27:37 | 0.12 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:42 | 0.05 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.14 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.05 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:35 | 0.06 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:11 | 0.22 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.04 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.03 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.12 | 47.4% | +43.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:24 | 0.15 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.07 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.29 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.31 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:21 | 0.04 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:50 | 0.01 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 9:26 | 0.00 | 40.3% | +43.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 8:23 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 5:54 | 0.00 | 56.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 1.73 | −2.3 | 57:39 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 26:21 | 0.03 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:01 | 0.09 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:12 | 0.29 | 45.6% | +10.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:12 | 0.20 | 43.8% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.04 | 59.5% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:10 | 0.00 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.01 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.04 | 30.3% | +32.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.18 | 59.5% | +50.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.37 | 57.7% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.19 | 47.1% | +18.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:19 | 0.13 | 39.2% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.03 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:30 | 0.11 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:44 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 3:20 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 3:09 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 1.71 | −0.3 | 60:00 |