Mon, Mar 4, 2013·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 73% of the time.
64%
9%
19%
PIT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:48 | 0.14 | 33.9% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:50 | 0.05 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:39 | 0.01 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 21:38 | 0.42 | 43.5% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:54 | 0.00 | 34.1% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.12 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:07 | 0.12 | 44.6% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.12 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.15 | 52.7% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.04 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.03 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.14 | 91.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.06 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:32 | 0.27 | 57.4% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.02 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:28 | 0.05 | 42.3% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:29 | 0.00 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 6:48 | 0.26 | 69.6% | 0.0 |
| – | 13 | 12 | 1 | .923 | 1.06 | +0.1 | 22:19 | |
| L | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 1.40 | −0.6 | 36:55 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 28:19 | 0.16 | 70.1% | +34.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.00 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:32 | 0.08 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.33 | 77.7% | +49.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 20:57 | 0.59 | 57.6% | +28.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 19:47 | 0.24 | 74.5% | +16.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:23 | 1.06 | 49.2% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.21 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.03 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.02 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.01 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:32 | 0.22 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.06 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:09 | 0.19 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.00 | 12.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:49 | 0.00 | 7.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.01 | −1.0 | 59:39 |