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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 14, 2013·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Colorado Avalanche 3, Minnesota Wild 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 87% of the time.

MIN winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

MIN forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Parenteau–McGinn–DucheneHejduk–Mitchell–StastnyHejduk–Stastny–LandeskogMitchell–Jones–O'ReillyKobasew–Bordeleau–McLeodJones–O'Reilly–LandeskogParenteau–O'Reilly–LandeskogMcLeod–O'Reilly–LandeskogJones–McGinn–DucheneZanon–JohnsonHunwick–WilsonHejda–O'BrienHejda–HunwickO'Brien–JohnsonZanon–HejdaHunwick–Johnson
Koivu–Parise–Coyle4:450.53–0.092:220.10–0.031:330.18–0.100:430.04–0.000:400.00–0.020:320.00–0.003:260.13–0.032:350.18–0.012:200.00–0.250:340.00–0.000:310.19–0.000:420.21–0.000:410.00–0.00
Heatley–Brodziak–Clutterbuck1:140.03–0.002:090.06–0.042:180.04–0.131:230.01–0.000:300.00–0.001:100.00–0.020:340.00–0.002:330.11–0.133:170.00–0.062:110.03–0.000:360.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Cullen–Bouchard–Setoguchi1:170.00–0.351:290.50–0.112:110.90–0.000:500.07–0.002:180.62–0.222:181.03–0.001:590.00–0.21
Rupp–Konopka–Mitchell0:390.00–0.021:390.11–0.000:430.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:570.10–0.021:220.01–0.00
Cullen–Rupp–Mitchell0:320.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Cullen–Rupp–Setoguchi
Stoner–Spurgeon2:210.17–0.003:070.10–0.034:280.22–0.150:590.00–0.022:000.85–0.000:460.00–0.000:400.00–0.140:380.00–0.004:530.13–0.184:271.12–0.022:450.12–0.001:340.00–0.001:110.00–0.14
Suter–Brodin6:010.41–0.262:180.00–0.041:330.19–0.100:330.00–0.061:130.03–0.061:380.00–0.020:430.00–0.002:410.00–0.222:510.19–0.115:520.04–0.300:500.00–0.001:160.18–0.001:130.21–0.00
Gilbert–Falk0:530.00–0.181:120.06–0.023:300.55–0.051:310.08–0.001:050.00–0.060:450.03–0.003:330.69–0.063:260.03–0.032:040.00–0.180:370.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHeatley FBrodziak FClutterbuck FKoivu FParise FCoyle FCullen FSetoguchi FBouchard FRupp FMitchell FKonopka FStoner DSpurgeon DSuter DBrodin DFalk DGilbert DBackstrom GHejduk FStastny FLandeskog FDuchene FMcGinn FParenteau FMitchell FJones FO'Reilly FKobasew FBordeleau FMcLeod FZanon DJohnson DHunwick DWilson DO'Brien DHejda DVarlamov G
MINCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan SuterMIN3124:260:472:0056
Jared SpurgeonMIN3023:570:481:3354
Jonas BrodinMIN3223:300:441:3417
Jan HejdaCOL3122:350:441:2534
Matt HunwickCOL3322:290:411:3346
Erik JohnsonCOL3921:420:331:2233
Clayton StonerMIN2621:050:491:3314
Paul StastnyCOL2819:400:421:5685
Matt DucheneCOL2819:370:421:3645
Kyle BrodziakMIN2819:180:411:1649
Mikko KoivuMIN2719:040:421:4244
Gabriel LandeskogCOL3018:520:382:0262
Zach PariseMIN2618:500:431:5153
Ryan O'ReillyCOL2718:430:421:2446
Matt CullenMIN2418:130:462:0822
Greg ZanonCOL3218:070:341:0624
Dany HeatleyMIN2217:380:481:3416
Devin SetoguchiMIN1916:510:531:3220
Shane O'BrienCOL2516:290:401:0733
PA ParenteauCOL2416:020:402:0242
John MitchellCOL2315:580:421:2754
Tom GilbertMIN2315:300:401:3462
Milan HejdukCOL2215:150:421:1461
Jamie McGinnCOL2213:430:371:1823
Ryan WilsonCOL2213:410:371:3333
Charlie CoyleMIN2113:370:391:1432
David JonesCOL2213:210:361:0923
Cal ClutterbuckMIN2012:080:360:5617
Mike RuppMIN1811:360:391:0301
Justin FalkMIN2011:320:351:2852
Pierre-Marc BouchardMIN1411:130:481:2820
Torrey MitchellMIN1710:060:360:5700
Cody McLeodCOL138:390:401:0700
Chuck KobasewCOL128:210:420:5800
Patrick BordeleauCOL127:480:391:2500
Zenon KonopkaMIN106:590:421:0200