Tue, Mar 19, 2013·Centre Bell, Montreal
Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 71% of the time.
61%
10%
9%
20%
MTL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:48 | 0.13 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:18 | 0.06 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.09 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 20:51 | 0.73 | 24.0% | +73.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:49 | 0.06 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.05 | 24.5% | +53.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.10 | 11.4% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.02 | 26.6% | +70.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:29 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.01 | 33.2% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.08 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.01 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.03 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.06 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.02 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.01 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:07 | 0.05 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 7:17 | 0.05 | 60.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.63 | +0.6 | 62:16 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:10 | 0.18 | 84.4% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:50 | 0.04 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:06 | 0.00 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.05 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.06 | 86.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:46 | 0.45 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.30 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.10 | 77.1% | +38.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.14 | 75.9% | +38.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:46 | 0.32 | 80.4% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.00 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:01 | 0.41 | 75.7% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:41 | 0.26 | 77.5% | +38.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:13 | 0.04 | 83.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.13 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:50 | 0.09 | 88.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:30 | 0.04 | 70.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.57 | −1.4 | 62:16 |