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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 8, 2013·TD Garden, Boston

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Boston Bruins 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.

BOS winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Dwyer–Staal–TlustyRuutu–LaRose–BrentStaal–Dalpe–SkinnerNash–Bowman–SkinnerNash–Bowman–DalpeLaRose–Nash–BowmanRuutu–Nash–BowmanHarrison–BellemoreCorvo–GleasonMcBain–SanguinettiHarrison–BergeronBergeron–McBainCorvo–BergeronCorvo–HarrisonGleason–Bergeron
Jagr–Campbell–Marchand2:480.03–0.513:420.53–0.102:110.14–0.051:110.14–0.000:580.06–0.004:310.22–0.492:080.59–0.013:280.07–0.131:480.03–0.10
Horton–Krejci–Lucic5:230.29–0.141:150.15–0.001:380.22–0.000:370.00–0.240:570.00–0.011:540.11–0.006:570.23–0.611:150.11–0.010:550.12–0.00
Kelly–Paille–Seguin2:150.12–0.144:050.02–0.052:110.00–0.343:340.12–0.181:210.00–0.002:350.00–0.761:150.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Thornton–Peverley–Caron0:470.00–0.104:290.34–0.171:480.00–0.000:330.00–0.003:060.59–0.131:420.00–0.102:060.00–0.010:500.04–0.020:460.00–0.00
Peverley–Caron–Seguin0:400.04–0.000:510.04–0.00
Jagr–Kelly–Paille0:450.00–0.040:440.00–0.09
Ference–Seidenberg1:210.19–0.003:050.15–0.126:020.32–0.111:190.00–0.283:470.36–0.134:440.26–0.353:420.27–0.110:410.00–0.021:070.00–0.000:550.12–0.00
Chara–Hamilton9:110.33–1.081:510.00–0.020:320.00–0.001:250.02–0.013:410.10–0.584:510.11–0.571:220.00–0.062:260.15–0.010:450.04–0.00
Boychuk–Bartkowski5:380.55–0.102:450.00–0.321:050.14–0.001:000.06–0.004:030.22–0.001:210.45–0.003:090.07–0.700:430.00–0.000:420.02–0.100:460.00–0.00
Ference–Boychuk0:390.00–0.000:560.03–0.000:330.00–0.000:540.03–0.000:540.00–0.001:080.00–0.11
Seidenberg–Bartkowski1:320.00–0.050:480.00–0.000:540.00–0.130:480.00–0.00
Chara–Boychuk1:070.03–0.000:350.00–0.150:440.00–0.130:560.03–0.00
Ference–Hamilton0:390.00–0.051:120.00–0.06
Seidenberg–Boychuk0:490.00–0.040:350.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLucic FHorton FKrejci FMarchand FCampbell FJagr FPaille FSeguin FKelly FPeverley FCaron FThornton FHamilton DChara DFerence DSeidenberg DBartkowski DBoychuk DRask GStaal FTlusty FDwyer FStaal FDalpe FSkinner FRuutu FBrent FLaRose FNash FBowman FGleason DCorvo DHarrison DBellemore DMcBain DSanguinetti DBergeron DPeters GEllis G
BOSCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jay HarrisonCAR2723:320:521:2422
Andrew FerenceBOS2522:040:532:1013
Johnny BoychukBOS2521:430:521:3425
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2520:520:501:5812
Zdeno CharaBOS2620:080:461:2424
Jeff SkinnerCAR2519:540:481:4262
Jaromir JagrBOS2019:060:571:3623
Dougie HamiltonBOS2218:350:511:3534
Patrick DwyerCAR2418:210:461:3064
Brett BellemoreCAR2418:020:451:5711
Eric StaalCAR2417:410:441:4450
Tim GleasonCAR2617:400:411:3531
Joe CorvoCAR2517:400:421:2231
Jordan StaalCAR2517:220:421:1645
David KrejciBOS2017:080:511:2122
Jiri TlustyCAR2417:000:431:4242
Milan LucicBOS1916:350:521:4422
Brad MarchandBOS1916:080:511:2113
Zac DalpeCAR2115:460:451:1651
Gregory CampbellBOS1715:290:551:2612
Jamie McBainCAR2115:210:441:0642
Chad LaRoseCAR2015:170:461:1601
Daniel PailleBOS1815:080:501:2514
Nathan HortonBOS2015:020:451:1412
Tyler SeguinBOS1914:560:471:5015
Rich PeverleyBOS1914:520:471:0623
Matt BartkowskiBOS1814:500:491:3412
Tim BrentCAR2114:410:421:1623
Bobby SanguinettiCAR2114:200:411:1643
Riley NashCAR2014:110:431:1632
Tuomo RuutuCAR1913:450:431:0412
Chris KellyBOS2013:230:401:0517
Drayson BowmanCAR1913:210:421:0442
Marc-Andre BergeronCAR1512:090:491:1661
Jordan CaronBOS1611:240:431:0102
Shawn ThorntonBOS1510:370:421:1001