Mon, Apr 8, 2013·Pepsi Center, Denver
Calgary Flames 3, Colorado Avalanche 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 51% of the time.
41%
10%
9%
40%
COL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 28:02 | 0.10 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 25:06 | 0.12 | 46.5% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:14 | 0.12 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:45 | 0.00 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:40 | 0.24 | 57.7% | +11.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:06 | 0.65 | 66.4% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.20 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:16 | 0.28 | 58.4% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.14 | 53.2% | +46.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.05 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14:48 | 0.47 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.06 | 55.9% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:25 | 0.10 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.01 | 57.0% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:08 | 0.03 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:09 | 0.04 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:27 | 0.00 | 65.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 39 | 1 | .975 | 2.68 | +1.7 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:43 | 0.08 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:19 | 0.10 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:54 | 0.36 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:59 | 0.22 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:16 | 0.06 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:06 | 0.10 | 36.1% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.03 | 37.8% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.16 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:26 | 0.69 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.35 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.05 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.01 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:40 | 0.23 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:29 | 0.04 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.07 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:33 | 0.09 | 24.9% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:31 | 0.03 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:39 | 0.00 | 64.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.63 | −0.4 | 57:52 |