Sun, Apr 21, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.
46%
10%
9%
35%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Justin FaulkD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:46 | 0.15 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:40 | 0.12 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:40 | 0.61 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 Jay HarrisonD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.00 | 40.9% | 0.0 |
 Alexander SeminRW · #28 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.13 | 43.6% | +50.3 |
 Eric StaalC · #12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.21 | 42.3% | +30.1 |
 Tim GleasonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:24 | 0.01 | 33.5% | 0.0 |
 Jiri TlustyLW · #19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 18:58 | 0.52 | 51.3% | +30.0 |
 Joe CorvoD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:26 | 0.02 | 39.9% | +20.2 |
 Tuomo RuutuLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.11 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Jamie McBainD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
 Chad LaRoseRW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:45 | 0.29 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 Patrick DwyerRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:31 | 0.07 | 36.2% | 0.0 |
 Riley NashC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas BlanchardLW · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:26 | 0.02 | 17.5% | 0.0 |
 Tim WallaceRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.00 | 0.8% | 0.0 |
 Bobby SanguinettiD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:15 | 0.00 | 56.0% | 0.0 |
 Dan Ellis#31 | W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 2.60 | +0.6 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:03 | 0.08 | 61.7% | 0.0 |
 Sami SaloD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 23:08 | 0.07 | 56.3% | +7.8 |
 Eric BrewerD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:40 | 0.15 | 55.7% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:27 | 0.32 | 44.4% | +7.8 |
 Martin St. LouisRW · #26 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:42 | 0.09 | 53.4% | +25.5 |
 Matt CarleD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:18 | 0.05 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
 Teddy PurcellLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.14 | 49.2% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.05 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Keith AulieD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 14:44 | 0.17 | 66.6% | 0.0 |
 Radko GudasD · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.03 | 73.7% | 0.0 |
 Tom PyattLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:56 | 0.31 | 75.2% | 0.0 |
 Nate ThompsonC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.09 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
 B.J. CrombeenRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.16 | 77.8% | 0.0 |
 Richard PanikRW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.10 | 64.7% | 0.0 |
 Vincent LecavalierC · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:44 | 0.13 | 62.7% | +17.6 |
 Dana TyrellC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.40 | 59.5% | 0.0 |
 Pierre-Cedric LabrieLW · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.18 | 69.1% | 0.0 |
 Ryan MaloneLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:32 | 0.08 | 60.4% | 0.0 |
 Anders Lindback#39 | L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.28 | −0.7 | 59:39 |