Tue, Oct 8, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 78% of the time.
15%
70%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:31 | 0.08 | 81.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:57 | 0.17 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.03 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:16 | 0.26 | 65.0% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.05 | 73.9% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:09 | 0.03 | 46.1% | +48.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:54 | 0.61 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:14 | 0.47 | 40.5% | +48.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.25 | 76.4% | +48.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.28 | 100.0% | +27.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:29 | 0.42 | 100.0% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.17 | 68.4% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:08 | 0.33 | 100.0% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.04 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.01 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:43 | 0.13 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:53 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 1.70 | −0.3 | 61:50 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:43 | 0.03 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:27 | 0.15 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:57 | 0.07 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21:20 | 0.03 | 18.7% | +50.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.27 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:19 | 0.15 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.01 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.24 | 19.7% | +50.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 18:21 | 0.43 | 20.8% | +50.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.06 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.05 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.01 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.01 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.13 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.04 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:07 | 0.00 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:22 | 0.00 | 71.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.32 | +0.3 | 61:50 |