Tue, Oct 8, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 78% of the time.
15%
70%
BUF winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos | Purcell–Johnson–Palat | Filppula–Pyatt–Killorn | Crombeen–Thompson–Labrie | Filppula–Thompson–Killorn | St. Louis–Filppula–Killorn | St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos | Carle–Gudas | Salo–Hedman | Brewer–Aulie | Salo–Carle | Brewer–Gudas | Hedman–Gudas | Salo–Brewer | Aulie–Hedman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stafford–Ennis–Foligno | 3:160.06–0.15 | 3:050.00–0.13 | 5:220.33–0.21 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:550.01–0.02 | 4:230.19–0.05 | 4:430.00–0.23 | 2:010.13–0.15 | 1:200.00–0.14 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:500.02–0.00 | ||||
| Ott–Vanek–Hodgson | 3:050.04–0.26 | 2:350.00–0.50 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.02 | 3:450.16–0.09 | 1:500.00–0.52 | 0:590.00–0.17 | ||||||||
| Porter–Flynn–Girgensons | 2:150.06–0.08 | 1:110.00–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.07 | 2:240.06–0.08 | 1:170.00–0.01 | 1:300.00–0.07 | ||||||||
| Flynn–Girgensons–Grigorenko | 3:080.00–0.03 | 1:000.02–0.00 | 0:460.05–0.00 | 1:270.02–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:510.05–0.00 | ||||||||
| Porter–Kaleta–Scott | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:110.08–0.00 | 1:070.08–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Vanek–Kaleta–Hodgson | 1:100.00–0.17 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Weber–Myers | 4:270.15–0.14 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 3:550.02–0.03 | 1:380.04–0.00 | 1:120.01–0.02 | 4:540.13–0.04 | 3:480.10–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.03 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.14 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||
| Ehrhoff–Pysyk | 5:150.09–0.27 | 0:360.00–0.07 | 1:220.13–0.01 | 3:200.15–0.07 | 1:350.07–0.02 | 5:440.46–0.11 | 3:270.07–0.08 | 1:250.00–0.15 | 0:570.00–0.07 | 0:370.02–0.02 | 0:310.05–0.00 | ||||
| McBain–Ristolainen | 8:150.00–0.54 | 3:180.20–0.17 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 3:160.00–0.68 | 4:110.13–0.09 | 0:410.00–0.04 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:420.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Ehrhoff–Myers | 1:020.00–0.07 | 0:380.00–0.04 | 0:470.00–0.06 | 0:460.00–0.07 | |||||||||||
| Ehrhoff–Ristolainen | 0:510.00–0.17 | 1:010.00–0.17 | |||||||||||||
| McBain–Myers | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 33 | 26:43 | 0:49 | 2:21 | 3 | 5 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 31 | 24:31 | 0:47 | 2:08 | 2 | 9 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 26 | 24:27 | 0:56 | 1:36 | 5 | 2 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 31 | 23:57 | 0:46 | 1:56 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 28 | 22:57 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 6 | 3 |
 Radko GudasTBL | 28 | 21:35 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 2 | 1 |
 Jamie McBainBUF | 24 | 21:20 | 0:53 | 1:51 | 8 | 1 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 26 | 21:16 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 5 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 26 | 20:50 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 3 | 9 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 22 | 20:21 | 0:56 | 1:36 | 3 | 2 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 24 | 20:19 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 4 | 2 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 26 | 20:09 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 4 | 5 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 26 | 19:54 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 27 | 18:34 | 0:41 | 1:35 | 4 | 3 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 21 | 18:25 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 5 | 3 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 23 | 18:21 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 6 | 4 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 22 | 18:14 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 4 | 2 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 29 | 17:42 | 0:37 | 1:24 | 3 | 6 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 20 | 16:35 | 0:50 | 1:51 | 3 | 1 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 24 | 16:17 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Brian FlynnBUF | 21 | 15:15 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 3 | 2 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 21 | 14:50 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 5 | 2 |
 Steve OttBUF | 20 | 14:49 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 4 | 4 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 21 | 14:29 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 3 | 4 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 21 | 14:17 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 4 | 0 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 20 | 14:08 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 2 | 5 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 13:28 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 3 | 0 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 17 | 13:15 | 0:47 | 1:08 | 4 | 2 |
 Kevin PorterBUF | 18 | 12:59 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 17 | 12:41 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 1 | 1 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 16 | 12:08 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 0 | 0 |
 B.J. CrombeenTBL | 14 | 9:43 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 1 | 0 |
 Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL | 12 | 8:53 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 0 | 0 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 12 | 8:14 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 0 | 2 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF | 11 | 8:07 | 0:44 | 1:03 | 3 | 0 |
 John ScottBUF | 5 | 4:22 | 0:52 | 1:28 | 0 | 0 |