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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 2, 2013·Verizon Center, Washington

Florida Panthers 2, Washington Capitals 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 54% of the time.

WSH winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Upshall–Winchester–BjugstadFleischmann–Huberdeau–BarkovKopecky–Goc–MatthiasGomez–Barch–BoyesGomez–Boyes–MatthiasMatthias–Winchester–BjugstadKopecky–Matthias–HuberdeauGomez–Boyes–UpshallBoyes–Kopecky–MatthiasCampbell–GilbertWeaver–KulikovWhitney–GudbransonKulikov–GudbransonCampbell–KulikovWeaver–GilbertCampbell–Whitney
Chimera–Ward–Grabovski1:040.00–0.003:100.11–0.312:180.00–0.051:240.01–0.000:440.00–0.022:160.00–0.284:340.06–0.062:460.05–0.02
Erat–Fehr–Backstrom3:480.22–0.221:120.01–0.000:410.00–0.001:120.17–0.000:490.00–0.001:030.00–0.033:490.24–0.181:510.14–0.072:280.06–0.000:330.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Laich–Brouwer–Johansson1:160.03–0.121:100.00–0.001:250.05–0.002:590.03–0.121:280.00–0.031:520.05–0.000:500.00–0.00
Latta–Volpatti–Wilson0:510.07–0.002:280.12–0.000:570.00–0.000:330.00–0.001:290.12–0.000:410.07–0.00
Erat–Brouwer–Johansson0:480.00–0.00
Green–Schmidt3:270.20–0.192:540.01–0.003:130.05–0.000:390.12–0.000:590.09–0.000:510.00–0.034:250.19–0.173:320.14–0.074:200.28–0.000:380.00–0.000:480.07–0.00
Alzner–Carlson1:430.00–0.043:310.13–0.281:100.00–0.001:250.13–0.000:440.00–0.023:100.05–0.284:400.06–0.042:190.12–0.00
Urbom–Oleksy2:030.03–0.100:430.00–0.020:510.07–0.012:350.04–0.000:450.00–0.190:450.00–0.003:580.03–0.141:410.00–0.002:440.04–0.211:050.07–0.000:450.00–0.00
Oleksy–Schmidt0:330.03–0.030:330.03–0.030:430.00–0.00
Green–Alzner1:090.00–0.10
Alzner–Oleksy0:300.00–0.000:330.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndErat FFehr FBackstrom FBrouwer FJohansson FLaich FWard FGrabovski FChimera FVolpatti FWilson FLatta FGreen DSchmidt DAlzner DCarlson DOleksy DUrbom DNeuvirth GWinchester FUpshall FBjugstad FHuberdeau FFleischmann FBarkov FKopecky FMatthias FGoc FBarch FGomez FBoyes FKulikov DWeaver DCampbell DGilbert DWhitney DGudbranson DClemmensen G
WSHFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brian CampbellFLA2829:551:042:3573
John CarlsonWSH2626:151:012:0247
Mike GreenWSH2425:471:042:3222
Dmitry KulikovFLA2223:221:041:5423
Karl AlznerWSH2422:470:571:5235
Tom GilbertFLA2622:280:521:3053
Mike WeaverFLA2521:060:512:0515
Troy BrouwerWSH2720:530:461:47310
Nicklas BackstromWSH2720:480:462:3142
Nate SchmidtWSH2120:370:592:2531
Erik GudbransonFLA2219:560:542:0261
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2519:450:471:3561
Eric FehrWSH2619:110:441:4723
Tomas KopeckyFLA2318:120:471:2461
Steve OleksyWSH2017:590:541:2724
Joel WardWSH2317:430:461:2824
Tomas FleischmannFLA2416:500:421:1981
Shawn MatthiasFLA1916:410:531:2421
Martin EratWSH2416:390:421:1623
Scott GomezFLA1716:380:592:0250
Brooks LaichWSH2616:210:381:23210
Brad BoyesFLA1816:200:541:2761
Jason ChimeraWSH2316:190:431:1834
Mikhail GrabovskiWSH1916:190:523:1521
Aleksander BarkovFLA2316:080:421:0781
Marcus JohanssonWSH2215:480:431:3425
Scottie UpshallFLA2215:170:421:0943
Jesse WinchesterFLA2414:380:371:0923
Alexander UrbomWSH1714:290:511:2534
Nick BjugstadFLA2113:440:391:0824
Ryan WhitneyFLA1513:130:532:0240
Marcel GocFLA1911:020:351:2424
Michael LattaWSH117:300:411:1843
Krys BarchFLA86:450:511:2710
Tom WilsonWSH76:050:521:2031
Aaron VolpattiWSH75:470:501:2031