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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 7, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Edmonton Oilers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 64% of the time.

TBL winsEDM wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hemsky–Gagner–HallHemsky–Eberle–Nugent-HopkinsGagner–Hall–YakupovGordon–Omark–ArcobelloSmyth–Gordon–ArcobelloOmark–Eberle–Nugent-HopkinsSmyth–Jones–GazdicSmyth–Eberle–Nugent-HopkinsEberle–Nugent-Hopkins–YakupovGordon–Jones–ArcobelloGordon–Arcobello–YakupovJones–Eberle–Nugent-HopkinsSmid–LarsenFerence–PetrySchultz–FedunFerence–FedunFerence–Larsen
St. Louis–Killorn–Stamkos6:110.26–0.213:120.16–0.131:060.00–0.001:210.06–0.001:200.04–0.110:330.00–0.006:030.05–0.008:450.50–0.450:580.03–0.00
Johnson–Panik–Palat0:360.00–0.020:410.00–0.000:320.10–0.001:260.01–0.000:590.00–0.120:580.00–0.093:150.12–0.091:570.00–0.13
Malone–Filppula–Purcell1:300.00–0.131:250.02–0.032:340.02–0.090:550.00–0.001:430.00–0.19
Filppula–Purcell–Connolly0:580.01–0.100:470.00–0.001:090.01–0.000:330.00–0.001:180.01–0.101:280.00–0.001:190.03–0.000:390.01–0.00
Johnson–Connolly–Palat0:300.00–0.030:340.00–0.240:470.00–0.000:350.00–0.070:580.12–0.001:150.00–0.121:550.14–0.001:310.00–0.34
Crombeen–Thompson–Panik0:530.07–0.020:450.00–0.000:470.00–0.020:550.00–0.021:060.09–0.090:530.01–0.020:390.02–0.00
Malone–Crombeen–Thompson0:550.00–0.00
Salo–Hedman7:000.15–0.351:290.00–0.000:560.09–0.001:200.04–0.000:470.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:370.00–0.009:280.07–0.344:450.26–0.191:510.00–0.03
Carle–Gudas1:040.00–0.002:410.04–0.131:360.07–0.001:170.02–0.020:350.09–0.002:390.14–0.131:430.01–0.093:000.10–0.057:130.18–0.332:300.14–0.02
Brewer–Barberio0:350.12–0.001:150.00–0.021:040.00–0.001:170.00–0.072:040.14–0.000:510.00–0.120:510.00–0.090:330.00–0.002:370.02–0.093:520.36–0.094:000.00–0.28
Carle–Barberio0:390.00–0.000:420.03–0.00
Brewer–Gudas0:330.00–0.130:430.01–0.00
Hedman–Gudas0:410.01–0.00
Salo–Carle
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FSt. Louis FStamkos FJohnson FConnolly FPalat FCrombeen FThompson FFilppula FMalone FPurcell FPanik FGudas DCarle DSalo DHedman DBrewer DBarberio DBishop GOmark FArcobello FGordon FEberle FHemsky FNugent-Hopkins FHall FSmyth FGagner FYakupov FJones FGazdic FPetry DFerence DSmid DLarsen DSchultz DFedun DDubnyk G
TBLEDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Philip LarsenEDM2323:341:012:3800
Radko GudasTBL2422:420:572:1621
Ladislav SmidEDM2322:380:592:3210
Andrew FerenceEDM2522:240:541:3313
Taylor HallEDM2722:030:492:0241
Victor HedmanTBL2521:490:521:4922
Sami SaloTBL2521:330:522:0632
Martin St. LouisTBL2421:150:531:1425
Steven StamkosTBL2420:350:511:1425
Jeff PetryEDM2220:200:551:3212
Sam GagnerEDM2620:180:471:1432
Jordan EberleEDM2519:540:482:1941
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2519:520:482:1951
Matt CarleTBL2219:510:542:2332
Alex KillornTBL2419:100:482:1222
Ales HemskyEDM2618:310:431:1420
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2017:460:532:2633
Tyler JohnsonTBL2217:430:482:1652
Ryan SmythEDM2117:200:501:4922
Mark ArcobelloEDM2216:270:452:1514
Mark BarberioTBL2215:330:421:4034
Eric BrewerTBL2015:030:451:4744
Richard PanikTBL1614:430:552:1642
Boyd GordonEDM2414:400:371:1228
Taylor FedunEDM1814:260:481:2712
Nick SchultzEDM1814:190:482:1513
Teddy PurcellTBL1914:100:451:1442
Ondrej PalatTBL2013:320:411:0522
Brett ConnollyTBL1813:010:431:1240
Nail YakupovEDM1511:080:451:1910
Nate ThompsonTBL159:220:371:2525
Ryan MaloneTBL139:140:431:1822
Linus OmarkEDM129:040:451:1212
B.J. CrombeenTBL138:110:381:2522
Ryan JonesEDM116:070:330:5451
Luke GazdicEDM52:320:300:4310