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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 14, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Calgary Flames 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.

BUF winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hudler–Glencross–MonahanCammalleri–Stajan–StempniakJones–Byron–BacklundMcGrattan–Colborne–BoumaCammalleri–Stajan–HudlerRussell–BrodieGiordano–SmidO'Brien–ButlerGiordano–ButlerSmid–Butler
Moulson–Ennis–Girgensons2:410.12–0.003:260.19–0.073:230.20–0.061:110.00–0.038:410.73–0.081:510.00–0.070:390.00–0.00
Ott–Stafford–Flynn3:380.00–0.062:040.00–0.141:360.00–0.005:050.00–0.032:230.02–0.14
Ellis–D'Agostini–Leino1:280.04–0.010:560.08–0.041:200.02–0.071:330.09–0.051:550.05–0.080:520.04–0.000:360.12–0.00
Ott–Stafford–Foligno0:370.00–0.140:320.01–0.001:390.05–0.000:350.00–0.001:280.05–0.001:370.00–0.140:310.01–0.00
Ott–D'Agostini–Leino1:030.05–0.000:550.00–0.061:190.05–0.010:380.07–0.00
D'Agostini–Leino–Flynn0:480.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:260.21–0.00
McCormick–Ellis–Scott
Tallinder–Myers6:090.07–0.212:420.02–0.032:020.00–0.010:550.00–0.000:420.22–0.003:380.27–0.038:470.04–0.220:510.06–0.000:400.00–0.06
Ehrhoff–McBain2:000.04–0.003:200.17–0.164:050.33–0.281:110.00–0.006:470.54–0.211:440.00–0.043:100.21–0.190:380.12–0.00
Weber–McNabb1:420.07–0.003:000.19–0.201:530.00–0.001:260.00–0.043:570.07–0.053:370.01–0.211:040.18–0.000:400.03–0.00
Tallinder–McBain0:460.01–0.090:500.01–0.09
McBain–McNabb0:410.00–0.000:520.05–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndMoulson FGirgensons FEnnis FOtt FStafford FFoligno FLeino FFlynn FD'Agostini FMcCormick FScott FEllis FMcBain DEhrhoff DMyers DTallinder DMcNabb DWeber DEnroth GCammalleri FStajan FStempniak FBacklund FByron FJones FBouma FGlencross FHudler FColborne FMonahan FMcGrattan FRussell DBrodie DSmid DGiordano DButler DO'Brien DRamo G
BUFCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris RussellCGY3125:510:502:0045
Mark GiordanoCGY3125:490:502:0356
Steve OttBUF3125:150:492:0446
Christian EhrhoffBUF3024:110:481:4165
TJ BrodieCGY3224:040:451:3045
Jamie McBainBUF2724:030:531:4552
Tyler MyersBUF2623:480:551:5434
Henrik TallinderBUF2420:420:521:5426
Matt MoulsonBUF2520:260:491:2082
Chris ButlerCGY2719:400:441:3125
Tyler EnnisBUF2519:380:471:1082
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2619:100:441:2543
Drew StaffordBUF2218:560:521:3252
Lee StempniakCGY2618:520:441:1912
Curtis GlencrossCGY2418:110:451:2741
Matt StajanCGY2618:090:421:2106
Ladislav SmidCGY2517:210:421:3144
Ville LeinoBUF2416:560:421:3151
Mikael BacklundCGY2316:550:441:4726
Jiri HudlerCGY2016:390:501:3751
Michael CammalleriCGY1916:310:521:4323
Brian FlynnBUF2015:530:481:0925
Sean MonahanCGY2115:200:441:2141
Brayden McNabbBUF1914:470:471:3850
Mike WeberBUF2114:210:411:3832
Paul ByronCGY2114:200:411:1424
Matt D'AgostiniBUF2013:550:421:1961
David JonesCGY1511:210:451:1624
Lance BoumaCGY2010:570:330:5205
Marcus FolignoBUF1610:330:401:1523
Shane O'BrienCGY128:590:451:0421
Matt EllisBUF158:430:350:5130
Joe ColborneCGY127:280:370:5900
Brian McGrattanCGY106:490:410:5910
Cody McCormickBUF31:550:380:5100
John ScottBUF31:300:300:5100