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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 15, 2013·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Detroit Red Wings 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Johnson–PalatFilppula–Purcell–KillornThompson–Kucherov–BrownSt. Louis–Tyrell–PanikThompson–Tyrell–PanikFilppula–Tyrell–PanikTyrell–Johnson–PanikCarle–GudasBrewer–SustrSalo–TaorminaBrewer–BarberioSalo–BarberioBrewer–GudasCarle–BarberioSalo–BrewerSalo–CarleTaormina–Sustr
Alfredsson–Datsyuk–Jurco5:180.33–0.063:270.12–0.012:170.05–0.268:390.23–0.340:380.13–0.000:360.00–0.021:080.00–0.02
Miller–Andersson–Tatar3:030.15–0.261:180.01–0.003:380.05–0.290:480.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:390.05–0.003:240.15–0.230:470.00–0.061:230.00–0.020:560.00–0.220:440.00–0.16
Cleary–Eaves–Glendening0:580.00–0.161:250.08–0.001:060.00–0.051:230.00–0.040:470.00–0.001:060.01–0.001:020.08–0.192:230.00–0.021:300.01–0.000:450.00–0.000:350.03–0.000:300.00–0.00
Bertuzzi–Franzen–Nyquist4:140.21–0.190:480.02–0.000:540.00–0.023:160.05–0.09
Bertuzzi–Datsyuk–Nyquist1:300.10–0.101:060.10–0.10
Andersson–Nyquist–Tatar0:340.03–0.000:370.03–0.000:370.03–0.00
Bertuzzi–Andersson–Nyquist0:530.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Kindl–Lashoff1:310.00–0.001:400.18–0.026:450.22–0.481:120.00–0.020:470.00–0.000:460.01–0.003:000.15–0.352:230.00–0.112:200.02–0.021:370.01–0.001:070.01–0.000:460.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Kronwall–Ericsson5:330.18–0.083:330.11–0.111:520.06–0.340:430.00–0.020:370.00–0.006:440.20–0.211:490.00–0.061:220.00–0.001:170.11–0.000:400.00–0.160:360.03–0.00
Quincey–Smith3:130.18–0.025:010.11–0.202:160.00–0.070:480.00–0.003:270.20–0.083:560.17–0.021:540.03–0.151:180.00–0.020:330.00–0.050:340.01–0.00
Kronwall–Kindl1:320.16–0.271:120.13–0.13
Ericsson–Quincey1:270.02–0.160:540.02–0.000:410.00–0.16
Quincey–Kindl0:510.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Kronwall–Smith0:380.03–0.000:370.03–0.000:380.03–0.000:370.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAndersson FMiller FTatar FAlfredsson FDatsyuk FJurco FBertuzzi FFranzen FNyquist FEaves FGlendening FCleary FKindl DLashoff DEricsson DKronwall DSmith DQuincey DMrazek GBrown FThompson FKucherov FJohnson FPalat FSt. Louis FPurcell FKillorn FFilppula FTyrell FPanik FGudas DCarle DBrewer DSalo DTaormina DSustr DBarberio DBishop G
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matt CarleTBL3224:170:461:4418
Radko GudasTBL3023:560:481:4918
Pavel DatsyukDET2623:310:541:3043
Niklas KronwallDET3023:050:461:3044
Martin St. LouisTBL3022:220:451:5753
Jakub KindlDET2321:090:552:3273
Eric BrewerTBL2520:440:502:0217
Daniel AlfredssonDET2419:560:501:1952
Tyler JohnsonTBL2419:360:491:5742
Jonathan EricssonDET2419:290:491:4523
Ondrej PalatTBL2418:460:471:5751
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2318:320:481:3527
Kyle QuinceyDET2317:540:471:3442
Brendan SmithDET2017:370:531:3751
Sami SaloTBL2617:090:401:3255
Tomas JurcoDET2116:450:481:1832
Alex KillornTBL2016:330:501:3523
Tomas TatarDET2116:320:471:0552
Brian LashoffDET2216:240:451:5754
Joakim AnderssonDET2516:060:391:0045
Nate ThompsonTBL2415:590:401:1047
Teddy PurcellTBL1915:230:491:3322
Todd BertuzziDET2115:170:441:4461
Gustav NyquistDET2014:130:431:3452
JT BrownTBL2313:410:360:5826
Nikita KucherovTBL2013:390:411:0515
Andrej SustrTBL1713:240:472:1912
Daniel ClearyDET1813:230:451:2051
Drew MillerDET1713:190:471:0032
Luke GlendeningDET1912:490:401:2041
Dana TyrellTBL1611:060:421:1626
Patrick EavesDET1610:400:401:1751
Matt TaorminaTBL1610:210:391:1251
Mark BarberioTBL129:230:471:2102
Richard PanikTBL149:090:391:1325
Johan FranzenDET106:500:411:3411