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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 29, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

New York Rangers 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nash–Stepan–KreiderPouliot–Hagelin–MillerRichards–Brassard–ZuccarelloMoore–Boyle–DorsettMcDonagh–MooreGirardi–Del ZottoGirardi–AllenFalk–AllenGirardi–MooreGirardi–McDonaghFalk–Del ZottoMcDonagh–Del ZottoDel Zotto–AllenMcDonagh–Allen
Filppula–Purcell–Killorn6:330.20–0.272:580.31–0.022:290.13–0.022:190.06–0.015:330.20–0.041:400.10–0.122:050.06–0.001:190.07–0.000:350.00–0.001:300.00–0.020:560.18–0.00
St. Louis–Johnson–Palat3:260.14–0.032:500.02–0.125:160.43–0.172:160.51–0.063:200.05–0.153:170.19–0.100:540.00–0.001:050.02–0.032:340.40–0.001:230.08–0.111:130.35–0.00
Thompson–Kucherov–Brown2:580.00–0.103:330.02–0.141:210.07–0.003:370.07–0.103:080.09–0.272:550.00–0.033:290.07–0.020:500.00–0.020:340.00–0.00
St. Louis–Pyatt–Panik0:550.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:320.00–0.01
Pyatt–Panik–Brown0:480.00–0.000:350.00–0.050:350.00–0.050:560.09–0.00
St. Louis–Filppula–Palat
Carle–Sustr4:050.02–0.142:430.31–0.114:490.31–0.121:030.00–0.065:210.09–0.250:440.26–0.003:000.14–0.021:240.00–0.052:000.21–0.000:380.00–0.11
Barberio–Hedman4:300.22–0.120:530.09–0.001:290.00–0.022:570.35–0.003:020.14–0.022:520.08–0.121:590.00–0.001:130.35–0.000:390.00–0.01
Cote–Gudas0:350.00–0.004:150.18–0.151:230.07–0.000:590.21–0.001:210.00–0.122:100.21–0.031:270.07–0.001:300.18–0.00
Gudas–Korobov1:120.08–0.020:320.02–0.001:330.00–0.000:470.00–0.020:550.00–0.000:410.08–0.000:380.00–0.00
Hedman–Korobov2:060.01–0.111:020.07–0.050:330.00–0.000:540.00–0.001:220.01–0.11
Barberio–Gudas0:330.00–0.020:320.00–0.100:340.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:520.00–0.02
Carle–Gudas1:080.00–0.021:150.07–0.000:340.00–0.02
Carle–Korobov1:030.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:320.00–0.01
Cote–Hedman1:010.03–0.000:370.00–0.000:590.03–0.000:300.00–0.00
Hedman–Gudas0:380.02–0.14
Cote–Korobov0:400.00–0.050:400.00–0.050:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBrown FThompson FKucherov FJohnson FPalat FSt. Louis FPurcell FKillorn FFilppula FPanik FPyatt FCarle DSustr DGudas DHedman DBarberio DCote DKorobov DLindback GMiller FHagelin FPouliot FKreider FStepan FNash FBrassard FRichards FZuccarello FDorsett FBoyle FMoore FMoore DMcDonagh DDel Zotto DGirardi DFalk DAllen DLundqvist G
TBLNYRFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan McDonaghNYR3227:260:511:3775
Dan GirardiNYR3126:300:512:3255
Martin St. LouisTBL2823:320:502:0033
Victor HedmanTBL2322:511:001:3752
John MooreNYR2922:260:461:2152
Radko GudasTBL2321:030:552:0754
Matt CarleTBL2520:490:501:1724
Tyler JohnsonTBL2520:430:501:5034
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2320:390:541:3761
Ondrej PalatTBL2519:290:471:1725
Teddy PurcellTBL2319:260:511:3061
Alex KillornTBL2218:040:491:3731
Derek StepanNYR2417:290:441:3222
Rick NashNYR2417:160:431:1623
Chris KreiderNYR2317:110:451:1622
Michael Del ZottoNYR2116:430:481:3425
Andrej SustrTBL2016:420:501:4405
Nikita KucherovTBL2016:190:491:1721
Mats ZuccarelloNYR2116:000:461:1981
Brad RichardsNYR2215:580:441:1983
Conor AllenNYR2215:470:431:3031
Nate ThompsonTBL2115:100:431:2523
JT BrownTBL1914:450:471:1112
Derick BrassardNYR2014:370:441:1971
Benoit PouliotNYR1814:200:481:4150
Mark BarberioTBL1513:580:561:3710
Brian BoyleNYR1813:530:461:3728
Carl HagelinNYR1913:440:431:4131
Derek DorsettNYR1913:170:421:1626
Dominic MooreNYR1812:560:431:1326
J.T. MillerNYR1612:120:461:4120
Jean-Philippe CoteTBL1211:370:582:0721
Dmitry KorobovTBL1210:350:531:1721
Justin FalkNYR148:450:381:1314
Richard PanikTBL127:270:371:1722
Tom PyattTBL115:540:321:1713