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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 1, 2014·Michigan Stadium, Ann ArborOutdoor game

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Detroit Red Wings 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 81% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Dion PhaneufD · #3022+2128:240.0234.1%+51.5
Carl GunnarssonD · #36000+2126:120.0243.3%0.0
Tyler BozakC · #42101+1123:360.0033.9%+25.6
Cody FransonD · #4000−2123:130.049.5%0.0
Jake GardinerD · #51000−1322:010.0818.3%0.0
Phil KesselRW · #81011+1721:390.2957.0%+25.9
Nikolay KuleminLW · #410000020:240.004.6%0.0
Jay McClementC · #110000120:200.016.4%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #21101+1419:140.5156.5%+25.9
Paul RangerD · #15000−1117:150.0232.1%0.0
Joffrey LupulLW · #19000−1216:410.0430.4%0.0
Mason RaymondLW · #12000−1115:590.0031.7%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #43000−1215:550.2545.3%0.0
David ClarksonRW · #710000013:540.003.8%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #440000113:060.0133.8%0.0
Jerry D'AmigoRW · #29000008:280.000.0%0.0
Peter HollandC · #24000003:440.000.0%0.0
Colton OrrRW · #28000001:590.000.0%0.0
Jonathan Bernier#45W43412.9533.10+1.164:56

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kyle QuinceyD · #270000124:330.1574.4%0.0
Pavel DatsyukC · #130000324:170.2662.3%0.0
Niklas KronwallD · #550000123:490.0355.6%0.0
Henrik ZetterbergC · #40011+1623:290.4368.7%+24.6
Danny DeKeyserD · #65000−2222:300.0263.5%0.0
Brendan SmithD · #2011+2122:230.0271.2%+34.0
Daniel AlfredssonRW · #11101+1319:550.1986.6%+24.6
Daniel ClearyRW · #710000317:530.3868.5%0.0
Justin AbdelkaderLW · #81010317:430.1850.6%+34.0
Jakub KindlD · #4000−1216:550.0673.5%0.0
Gustav NyquistRW · #14011+1416:290.6777.9%+24.6
Todd BertuzziRW · #440000016:280.0036.3%0.0
Brian LashoffD · #230000115:240.0174.2%0.0
Luke GlendeningC · #410000214:400.0397.7%0.0
Tomas TatarLW · #210000413:320.2055.8%0.0
Drew MillerLW · #20000−1613:150.4387.1%0.0
Joakim AnderssonC · #18000−1010:020.0058.8%0.0
Patrick EavesRW · #17000013:000.04100.0%0.0
Jimmy Howard#35O26242.9231.31−0.764:43