Thu, Jan 23, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 54% of the time.
37%
9%
10%
44%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| MacArthur–Ryan–Turris | Spezza–Michalek–Zibanejad | Spezza–Condra–Smith | Neil–Greening–Smith | Michalek–Conacher–Zibanejad | Neil–Greening–Da Costa | Condra–Conacher–Da Costa | Ryan–Conacher–Zibanejad | Karlsson–Cowen | Phillips–Ceci | Gryba–Wiercioch | Phillips–Karlsson | Gryba–Ceci | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filppula–Purcell–Killorn | 8:560.56–0.35 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:010.07–0.02 | 0:470.02–0.09 | 7:150.14–0.30 | 4:160.47–0.06 | 2:020.04–0.05 | 0:590.00–0.14 | ||||
| St. Louis–Johnson–Palat | 0:590.03–0.06 | 2:390.21–0.04 | 5:020.22–0.23 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:190.00–0.05 | 6:430.14–0.26 | 5:380.32–0.04 | 1:320.00–0.05 | ||||
| Malone–Crombeen–Thompson | 1:170.06–0.22 | 1:090.03–0.05 | 3:240.12–0.08 | 0:590.00–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 3:320.03–0.28 | 2:120.12–0.06 | 1:300.00–0.04 | |||||
| Thompson–Kucherov–Brown | 1:360.01–0.00 | 1:560.12–0.01 | 3:180.12–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Filppula–Kucherov–Brown | 0:490.06–0.01 | 0:340.06–0.06 | 1:070.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| St. Louis–Kucherov–Brown | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.06 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.06 | |||||||||
| Malone–Thompson–Kucherov | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:380.01–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Malone–Filppula–Crombeen | 0:530.07–0.00 | 0:480.02–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Carle–Gudas | 7:140.40–0.61 | 0:490.06–0.01 | 1:590.00–0.23 | 1:330.13–0.00 | 1:350.07–0.02 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 8:370.11–0.74 | 5:370.55–0.09 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.04 | ||
| Brewer–Barberio | 1:280.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 2:160.00–0.11 | 1:590.01–0.00 | 2:290.15–0.03 | 1:040.00–0.05 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 3:150.12–0.04 | 1:200.00–0.04 | 5:010.02–0.08 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 1:010.00–0.01 | |
| Salo–Hedman | 2:150.16–0.09 | 4:120.22–0.05 | 2:060.11–0.02 | 1:320.00–0.01 | 7:150.21–0.12 | 3:590.26–0.06 | |||||||
| Salo–Aulie | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:250.01–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Aulie–Hedman | 0:360.07–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:200.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Aulie–Gudas | 0:420.00–0.02 | 0:410.02–0.09 | 0:480.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Hedman–Gudas | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Carle–Aulie | 0:420.11–0.00 | 0:420.11–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Carle–Barberio | 0:430.04–0.00 | 0:490.04–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Salo–Carle |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 40 | 34:45 | 0:52 | 1:55 | 9 | 7 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 37 | 28:43 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 9 | 6 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 30 | 24:35 | 0:49 | 1:54 | 4 | 6 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 30 | 23:44 | 0:47 | 2:11 | 6 | 3 |
 Radko GudasTBL | 26 | 23:30 | 0:54 | 1:47 | 4 | 3 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 28 | 23:12 | 0:50 | 1:47 | 4 | 4 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 30 | 21:55 | 0:44 | 2:11 | 4 | 6 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 29 | 21:29 | 0:44 | 2:11 | 2 | 7 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 30 | 19:23 | 0:39 | 1:43 | 6 | 7 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 24 | 19:13 | 0:48 | 1:51 | 6 | 5 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 30 | 18:30 | 0:37 | 1:15 | 3 | 6 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 28 | 18:29 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 4 | 8 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 23 | 18:24 | 0:48 | 1:42 | 7 | 4 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 23 | 18:20 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 7 | 4 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 29 | 18:19 | 0:38 | 1:24 | 3 | 6 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 24 | 17:52 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 3 | 7 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 27 | 17:47 | 0:40 | 1:42 | 8 | 3 |
 Mika ZibanejadOTT | 25 | 17:43 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 7 | 5 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 25 | 17:05 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 7 | 3 |
 Clarke MacArthurOTT | 22 | 16:57 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 8 | 3 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 24 | 16:55 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 3 | 4 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 29 | 16:26 | 0:34 | 1:12 | 3 | 5 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 22 | 15:25 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 Mark BarberioTBL | 23 | 15:20 | 0:40 | 1:31 | 3 | 4 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 22 | 14:04 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 3 | 4 |
 Cory ConacherOTT | 18 | 13:49 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 3 | 2 |
 Eric GrybaOTT | 20 | 13:07 | 0:39 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 20 | 13:02 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 1 | 3 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 21 | 12:57 | 0:37 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Stephane Da CostaOTT | 16 | 12:51 | 0:48 | 1:40 | 3 | 3 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 20 | 12:20 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 4 | 2 |
 B.J. CrombeenTBL | 19 | 12:14 | 0:39 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 20 | 12:04 | 0:36 | 1:18 | 4 | 3 |
 JT BrownTBL | 17 | 11:44 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 3 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 15 | 10:54 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 1 | 2 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 10 | 8:24 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 |