Sat, Jan 25, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Colorado Avalanche 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
57%
9%
10%
24%
TBL winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:49 | 0.03 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:16 | 0.00 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:16 | 0.07 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.10 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.26 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.11 | 48.9% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.04 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:57 | 0.18 | 54.3% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.10 | 56.3% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 16:47 | 0.35 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.03 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.08 | 55.5% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.14 | 47.7% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.03 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.13 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.07 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:30 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:08 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 |
| – | 11 | 9 | 2 | .818 | 0.78 | −1.2 | 20:00 | |
| L | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 1.79 | −1.2 | 40:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 22:36 | 0.16 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 22:12 | 0.40 | 48.9% | +11.1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 21:32 | 0.27 | 50.1% | +35.3 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 20:58 | 0.04 | 46.1% | +35.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 18:15 | 0.13 | 59.7% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:11 | 0.00 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.16 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.29 | 62.5% | +20.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.05 | 57.7% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.11 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:14 | 0.41 | 59.0% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.09 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.02 | 57.2% | +1.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.27 | 58.7% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.05 | 59.6% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.09 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:01 | 0.04 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.00 | 69.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 1.72 | −0.3 | 59:55 |