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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 25, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Colorado Avalanche 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

TBL winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Mitchell–Stastny–LandeskogMcGinn–O'Reilly–DucheneParenteau–Talbot–MacKinnonBordeleau–McLeod–ClicheHejda–JohnsonHolden–BarrieGuenin–BenoitBenoit–BarrieGuenin–HejdaBenoit–HoldenHejda–HoldenBenoit–Johnson
St. Louis–Johnson–Palat1:380.00–0.038:030.54–0.361:210.02–0.009:230.26–0.391:340.25–0.00
Filppula–Purcell–Killorn6:020.18–0.170:400.13–0.061:080.03–0.002:470.00–0.001:300.13–0.183:110.15–0.061:100.06–0.000:470.00–0.00
Malone–Crombeen–Thompson2:020.07–0.002:220.00–0.171:150.00–0.061:060.00–0.003:010.07–0.101:500.04–0.000:470.00–0.06
Thompson–Kucherov–Brown0:570.00–0.092:370.28–0.150:400.02–0.012:480.28–0.160:520.00–0.00
Filppula–Kucherov–Brown1:140.06–0.071:410.09–0.001:430.06–0.041:000.09–0.04
Malone–Crombeen–Johnson1:220.00–0.020:540.00–0.02
Purcell–Killorn–Kucherov1:030.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Carle–Gudas5:500.18–0.206:060.27–0.370:390.00–0.001:000.00–0.006:330.10–0.321:310.13–0.103:370.12–0.060:500.06–0.091:120.00–0.16
Brewer–Barberio1:260.07–0.046:100.31–0.181:430.03–0.081:400.00–0.076:480.25–0.090:500.12–0.000:510.00–0.06
Salo–Hedman3:090.00–0.132:160.21–0.021:030.00–0.104:020.12–0.020:580.00–0.191:300.00–0.04
Aulie–Hedman1:400.00–0.021:410.02–0.000:580.00–0.001:560.04–0.020:580.00–0.001:120.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Salo–Aulie0:380.00–0.021:030.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Salo–Carle1:080.17–0.03
Barberio–Hedman0:450.05–0.130:510.05–0.13
Brewer–Gudas0:360.00–0.000:360.08–0.00
Carle–Hedman0:350.00–0.030:350.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FPalat FSt. Louis FPurcell FKillorn FFilppula FBrown FThompson FKucherov FMalone FCrombeen FGudas DCarle DSalo DHedman DBrewer DBarberio DAulie DBishop GDuchene FMcGinn FO'Reilly FMitchell FStastny FLandeskog FTalbot FParenteau FMacKinnon FCliche FMcLeod FBordeleau FJohnson DHejda DGuenin DBenoit DHolden DBarrie DAittokallio GVarlamov G
TBLCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jan HejdaCOL2623:490:552:2814
Matt CarleTBL2522:360:541:2344
Erik JohnsonCOL2822:160:481:5723
Martin St. LouisTBL2322:120:582:3441
Tyler JohnsonTBL2521:320:522:0153
Victor HedmanTBL2520:580:502:0174
Andre BenoitCOL2520:160:491:5316
Nick HoldenCOL2319:270:511:3523
Ryan O'ReillyCOL1918:581:001:4233
Ondrej PalatTBL2118:150:521:1932
Radko GudasTBL2118:110:521:2544
Tyson BarrieCOL2417:520:451:1623
Nate ThompsonTBL2217:500:491:2325
Paul StastnyCOL2017:430:531:5114
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2017:420:532:0162
John MitchellCOL2016:570:511:2124
Gabriel LandeskogCOL2016:520:511:1624
Matt DucheneCOL1816:470:561:4823
Nate GueninCOL2116:250:472:0108
Nathan MacKinnonCOL1716:090:571:5741
Max TalbotCOL1715:550:561:4823
Mark BarberioTBL2015:320:471:2224
Teddy PurcellTBL1715:260:542:0662
Alex KillornTBL1815:140:511:3442
Eric BrewerTBL1915:140:481:5244
PA ParenteauCOL2014:540:451:1632
Sami SaloTBL1814:220:481:3423
Jamie McGinnCOL1613:520:521:2512
Nikita KucherovTBL1613:450:521:3414
JT BrownTBL1612:460:481:2614
Ryan MaloneTBL1512:040:481:1741
B.J. CrombeenTBL1311:010:511:1731
Cody McLeodCOL1210:100:511:2321
Keith AulieTBL109:250:571:4410
Marc-Andre ClicheCOL128:300:431:0114
Patrick BordeleauCOL97:080:481:0111