Thu, Apr 3, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Calgary Flames 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 61% of the time.
29%
10%
10%
51%
TBL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 27:20 | 0.04 | 31.5% | +4.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:33 | 0.02 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 25:21 | 0.00 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:18 | 0.03 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 20:17 | 0.33 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.33 | 47.7% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.22 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.99 | 15.3% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.04 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.00 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.13 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.01 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:38 | 0.17 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.03 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:03 | 0.09 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 7:15 | 0.00 | 76.8% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 6:59 | 0.13 | 62.3% | +15.1 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.01 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 25:33 | 0.00 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:17 | 0.07 | 61.5% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:27 | 0.24 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:45 | 0.05 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.23 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:16 | 0.33 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.23 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:41 | 0.17 | 88.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.10 | 74.6% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.07 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:36 | 0.29 | 88.1% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.04 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.03 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:45 | 0.10 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.01 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:00 | 0.03 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:55 | 0.00 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 6:35 | 0.03 | 7.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 1.94 | −1.1 | 58:34 |