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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 3, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Calgary Flames 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 61% of the time.

TBL winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Cammalleri–Hudler–BacklundGlencross–Colborne–MonahanMcGrattan–Galiardi–Van BrabantWestgarth–Bouma–HanowskiGaliardi–Bouma–HanowskiWestgarth–Galiardi–Van BrabantGiordano–BrodieRussell–ButlerBreen–BillinsRussell–Billins
Killorn–Johnson–Kucherov2:430.05–0.132:580.14–0.003:140.12–0.011:500.01–0.011:120.13–0.040:490.06–0.003:360.03–0.025:550.45–0.044:450.11–0.020:540.08–0.11
Purcell–Stamkos–Brown3:550.12–0.063:030.01–0.121:000.02–0.001:010.00–0.027:320.22–0.204:030.03–0.08
Filppula–Callahan–Palat3:550.00–0.043:270.59–0.031:430.00–0.003:440.15–0.046:340.47–0.05
Malone–Crombeen–Thompson1:100.00–0.001:060.01–0.161:360.02–0.122:310.01–0.160:590.00–0.021:390.02–0.10
Purcell–Killorn–Stamkos
Salo–Hedman2:230.07–0.002:400.01–0.031:010.06–0.000:460.01–0.004:080.09–0.003:260.06–0.091:120.00–0.00
Salo–Carle3:520.05–0.172:160.32–0.094:140.03–0.151:480.31–0.000:530.02–0.00
Brewer–Barberio0:300.00–0.052:080.10–0.001:510.00–0.141:250.00–0.121:230.10–0.054:020.08–0.022:000.06–0.24
Carle–Gudas1:150.00–0.001:500.00–0.001:300.02–0.000:350.00–0.003:390.00–0.002:170.02–0.00
Barberio–Hedman0:370.00–0.001:410.20–0.031:200.06–0.000:380.00–0.022:270.05–0.051:580.20–0.00
Brewer–Gudas0:490.00–0.001:260.00–0.160:330.00–0.001:280.00–0.161:240.03–0.010:460.00–0.001:140.08–0.00
Hedman–Gudas1:440.05–0.022:030.05–0.021:090.12–0.00
Carle–Barberio
Brewer–Carle1:080.02–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPurcell FBrown FStamkos FPalat FCallahan FFilppula FKillorn FKucherov FJohnson FMalone FCrombeen FThompson FSalo DHedman DCarle DGudas DBrewer DBarberio DBishop GColborne FGlencross FMonahan FBacklund FCammalleri FHudler FMcGrattan FGaliardi FVan Brabant FWestgarth FBouma FHanowski FGiordano DBrodie DRussell DButler DBillins DBreen DRamo G
TBLCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris RussellCGY3127:200:533:1224
Victor HedmanTBL2725:330:571:4032
Mark GiordanoCGY3325:330:462:1226
TJ BrodieCGY3325:210:462:1227
Chris ButlerCGY3024:180:492:0613
Matt CarleTBL2622:170:511:5965
Alex KillornTBL2421:270:541:5442
Sami SaloTBL2920:450:431:3173
Steven StamkosTBL2320:300:533:0974
Mikael BacklundCGY3320:170:372:06311
Tyler JohnsonTBL2219:160:531:5442
Joe ColborneCGY2818:480:401:2744
Nikita KucherovTBL2218:140:501:3552
Michael CammalleriCGY2717:500:401:4728
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2117:410:511:4363
Ryan CallahanTBL2117:400:501:4962
Sean MonahanCGY2817:250:371:2154
Teddy PurcellTBL2217:010:461:1454
Curtis GlencrossCGY2716:470:371:2474
Ondrej PalatTBL2116:360:471:4363
Radko GudasTBL2516:130:391:2233
Eric BrewerTBL2315:540:411:2222
Mark BarberioTBL2015:450:471:2611
Jiri HudlerCGY2915:400:321:1228
Lance BoumaCGY2314:320:381:1134
TJ GaliardiCGY2114:200:411:1411
JT BrownTBL1913:410:431:1444
Brian McGrattanCGY1711:500:421:2011
Bryce Van BrabantCGY1610:380:401:1401
Chad BillinsCGY1610:040:381:2331
Ben HanowskiCGY179:030:321:1121
Chris BreenCGY147:150:311:1131
Ryan MaloneTBL137:000:321:0620
Kevin WestgarthCGY136:590:320:5121
Nate ThompsonTBL146:550:300:5420
B.J. CrombeenTBL146:350:280:5420