Sat, Oct 11, 2014·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.
30%
57%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:09 | 0.18 | 74.8% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21:16 | 0.02 | 61.8% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:29 | 0.15 | 81.4% | +17.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:50 | 0.50 | 72.8% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.02 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 17:56 | 0.49 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:38 | 0.76 | 52.1% | +30.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 15:27 | 0.56 | 68.7% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:14 | 0.38 | 51.9% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.03 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 14:06 | 1.42 | 68.5% | +32.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.25 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.02 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.10 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.03 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.00 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:42 | 0.00 | 67.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 4.00 | +2.0 | 59:50 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 23:04 | 0.00 | 21.9% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 21:53 | 0.24 | 27.0% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:49 | 0.02 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.05 | 43.6% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.59 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:02 | 0.77 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 17:57 | 0.67 | 30.2% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.49 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.13 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.53 | 48.0% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.37 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.00 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.00 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:31 | 0.12 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:15 | 0.00 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:01 | 0.03 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:17 | 0.00 | 12.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 36 | 5 | .878 | 4.91 | −0.1 | 60:00 |