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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 20, 2014·Rexall Place, Edmonton

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Edmonton Oilers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 68% of the time.

EDM winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Filppula–Johnson–DrouinKucherov–Namestnikov–BrownCallahan–Stamkos–PalatMorrow–Boyle–ConnollyFilppula–Stamkos–PalatJohnson–Connolly–DrouinMorrow–Boyle–BrownStamkos–Palat–DrouinGarrison–SustrCarle–StralmanBrewer–BarberioCarle–BarberioCarle–SustrBrewer–Stralman
Eberle–Hall–Nugent-Hopkins0:350.06–0.005:110.01–0.190:470.00–0.002:530.10–0.080:320.00–0.000:540.00–0.004:270.00–0.065:470.50–0.301:290.06–0.001:280.10–0.000:300.08–0.00
Purcell–Perron–Draisaitl3:240.36–0.152:200.00–0.001:260.00–0.081:060.12–0.002:590.16–0.051:560.00–0.164:260.21–0.110:570.21–0.00
Hendricks–Gordon–Joensuu2:100.10–0.002:530.00–0.001:070.00–0.070:480.00–0.000:330.06–0.000:310.00–0.003:540.06–0.042:470.20–0.002:040.00–0.07
Pouliot–Arcobello–Yakupov1:070.17–0.121:090.00–0.003:010.01–0.000:320.00–0.001:500.01–0.002:240.00–0.001:570.17–0.120:380.03–0.00
Pouliot–Perron–Arcobello0:350.03–0.000:350.03–0.00
Ference–Petry4:410.47–0.194:360.06–0.031:240.01–0.001:230.00–0.071:510.20–0.005:160.21–0.005:250.19–0.194:500.28–0.190:540.17–0.000:340.00–0.00
Nikitin–Schultz2:290.17–0.173:030.00–0.094:310.01–0.091:150.03–0.004:510.02–0.332:240.00–0.004:540.20–0.121:110.07–0.00
Fayne–Marincin5:030.00–0.262:480.04–0.131:000.00–0.063:420.00–0.105:460.51–0.301:540.00–0.071:030.10–0.000:350.08–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHall FEberle FNugent-Hopkins FPurcell FDraisaitl FPerron FYakupov FArcobello FPouliot FHendricks FJoensuu FGordon FFayne DMarincin DPetry DFerence DSchultz DNikitin DScrivens GPalat FCallahan FStamkos FBrown FKucherov FNamestnikov FJohnson FDrouin FFilppula FMorrow FBoyle FConnolly FStralman DCarle DGarrison DSustr DBrewer DBarberio DBishop G
EDMTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Anton StralmanTBL2523:180:562:3432
Jeff PetryEDM2722:310:501:2413
Matt CarleTBL2521:590:533:0922
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2720:550:461:3234
Jason GarrisonTBL2620:440:481:3433
Ondrej PalatTBL2520:410:501:1963
Andrew FerenceEDM2519:510:481:2413
Justin SchultzEDM2719:480:441:1040
Steven StamkosTBL2319:410:511:5552
Taylor HallEDM2619:250:451:2033
Nikita NikitinEDM2819:140:411:1641
Andrej SustrTBL2318:430:491:2224
Jordan EberleEDM2518:340:451:2035
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2218:340:511:5363
Tyler JohnsonTBL2318:250:481:3833
Martin MarincinEDM2818:070:391:3915
Mark FayneEDM2617:330:411:3215
Jonathan DrouinTBL2216:100:441:1432
Eric BrewerTBL2015:330:471:1132
Mark BarberioTBL1815:300:521:4530
Matt HendricksEDM2114:590:431:2013
David PerronEDM1914:540:471:2541
Teddy PurcellEDM1914:140:451:1651
Leon DraisaitlEDM1714:040:501:1650
Boyd GordonEDM2113:430:391:1517
Nikita KucherovTBL1813:060:441:1431
Brett ConnollyTBL1912:590:411:0922
Brian BoyleTBL2112:510:370:5625
JT BrownTBL2012:420:381:0732
Benoit PouliotEDM2012:360:380:5821
Brenden MorrowTBL1711:540:421:2313
Mark ArcobelloEDM1911:350:371:1112
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1611:330:431:3130
Jesse JoensuuEDM1611:100:421:1012
Ryan CallahanTBL1310:500:501:1231
Nail YakupovEDM1610:470:401:1621