Wed, Nov 26, 2014·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
33%
13%
12%
42%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:37 | 0.07 | 30.3% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:39 | 0.01 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.05 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.08 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.06 | 56.2% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.27 | 11.7% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:22 | 0.07 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.03 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.03 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:04 | 0.48 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.21 | 49.6% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.06 | 49.6% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.09 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.10 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:45 | 0.08 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:25 | 0.00 | 10.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 1.48 | −2.5 | 62:53 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 27:18 | 0.03 | 66.7% | +59.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:17 | 0.04 | 61.5% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 22:16 | 0.24 | 56.5% | +59.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:24 | 0.10 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:05 | 0.09 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.21 | 52.5% | +52.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:30 | 0.10 | 54.9% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.09 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.20 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.07 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 16:27 | 0.23 | 51.0% | +87.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.08 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.00 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:33 | 0.00 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:36 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:10 | 0.00 | 82.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 1.70 | −1.3 | 62:53 |