Sat, Jan 3, 2015·MTS Centre, Winnipeg
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Winnipeg Jets 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 88% of the time.
83%
WPG winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.04 | 22.4% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:39 | 0.02 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:31 | 0.01 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:30 | 0.03 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.05 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:29 | 0.30 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.28 | 13.4% | +19.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.13 | 26.1% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:01 | 0.00 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:37 | 0.15 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.01 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.00 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 8.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.09 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:58 | 0.14 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.06 | 8.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 7:30 | 0.00 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:24 | 0.15 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 35 | 5 | .875 | 4.08 | −0.9 | 60:00 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 5 | 23:51 | 0.17 | 84.2% | +32.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:29 | 0.02 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:20 | 0.07 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 19:41 | 0.51 | 77.4% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:07 | 0.22 | 86.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.47 | 86.7% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:47 | 0.39 | 92.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:57 | 0.57 | 82.4% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:51 | 0.00 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.17 | 75.7% | +19.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.11 | 86.1% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.04 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.37 | 84.7% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 12:09 | 0.62 | 93.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.00 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 10:23 | 0.17 | 94.1% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:29 | 0.16 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:26 | 0.03 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 1.46 | +0.5 | 59:41 |