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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 3, 2015·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Winnipeg Jets 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 88% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Santorelli–Smith–van RiemsdykKomarov–Kessel–BozakBooth–Winnik–AshtonBooth–Santorelli–SmithClarkson–Komarov–McKeggClarkson–Panik–McKeggKessel–van Riemsdyk–BozakClarkson–Winnik–McKeggSantorelli–Komarov–BozakPolak–RiellyPhaneuf–FransonHolzer–GardinerPolak–HolzerPolak–GardinerGardiner–Rielly
Frolik–Perreault–Scheifele3:190.13–0.082:380.23–0.030:440.00–0.001:130.16–0.000:570.00–0.004:300.35–0.001:000.03–0.083:560.21–0.031:220.00–0.00
Ladd–Wheeler–Little2:540.32–0.002:400.01–0.020:410.14–0.000:550.10–0.001:380.17–0.008:110.54–0.15
Galiardi–Halischuk–Lowry0:390.01–0.001:140.00–0.012:050.00–0.001:010.01–0.001:220.18–0.002:120.19–0.070:320.00–0.002:270.19–0.001:310.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Thorburn–Slater–Peluso0:530.00–0.050:500.00–0.001:400.00–0.230:440.16–0.001:320.16–0.000:470.00–0.052:430.02–0.150:570.00–0.09
Frolik–Galiardi–Scheifele1:000.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Harrison–Clitsome6:080.40–0.170:490.01–0.001:080.00–0.111:090.00–0.000:410.01–0.000:580.16–0.000:300.20–0.004:510.26–0.134:030.17–0.003:370.19–0.15
Byfuglien–Chiarot0:570.13–0.005:260.24–0.050:390.02–0.002:010.26–0.000:330.00–0.133:540.88–0.005:200.23–0.153:340.01–0.03
Pardy–Postma0:430.00–0.080:380.00–0.002:250.14–0.091:580.00–0.001:020.00–0.021:460.18–0.001:260.05–0.063:000.02–0.082:100.15–0.082:550.18–0.001:310.00–0.001:170.00–0.09
Harrison–Postma0:440.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLadd FLittle FWheeler FScheifele FFrolik FPerreault FHalischuk FLowry FGaliardi FPeluso FSlater FThorburn FByfuglien DChiarot DHarrison DClitsome DPardy DPostma DHutchinson GBozak FKomarov FKessel FSantorelli Fvan Riemsdyk FSmith FPanik FMcKegg FClarkson FBooth FWinnik FAshton FPhaneuf DFranson DRielly DPolak DGardiner DHolzer DReimer G
WPGTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dustin ByfuglienWPG2723:510:531:5874
Dion PhaneufTOR2722:000:491:5767
Cody FransonTOR2521:390:521:4663
Roman PolakTOR2520:310:491:5229
Jay HarrisonWPG2620:290:471:4824
Grant ClitsomeWPG2720:200:451:4833
Blake WheelerWPG2319:410:512:2662
Jake GardinerTOR2219:300:531:4234
Morgan RiellyTOR2319:180:501:5222
Mark ScheifeleWPG2319:070:501:2854
Andrew LaddWPG2218:470:512:3673
Michael FrolikWPG2518:470:451:2455
Tyler BozakTOR2018:290:551:5945
James van RiemsdykTOR1818:251:011:5052
Mike SantorelliTOR1818:021:001:4424
Trevor SmithTOR1818:011:001:3324
Mathieu PerreaultWPG2217:570:492:2794
Adam PardyWPG1817:511:001:5033
Phil KesselTOR1717:371:021:5433
Bryan LittleWPG2217:330:482:0383
Korbinian HolzerTOR2016:410:502:0536
Ben ChiarotWPG2216:260:451:2843
Paul PostmaWPG1716:120:571:4631
Leo KomarovTOR2315:150:401:2924
TJ GaliardiWPG2014:530:451:3432
David ClarksonTOR2013:150:401:2943
Daniel WinnikTOR1513:050:522:4326
Adam LowryWPG1812:090:411:3410
David BoothTOR1411:580:511:3302
Greg McKeggTOR1811:160:381:1032
Jim SlaterWPG1410:580:471:1634
Matt HalischukWPG1710:230:371:4620
Anthony PelusoWPG118:290:461:0321
Chris ThorburnWPG128:260:421:0222
Carter AshtonTOR107:300:451:2111
Richard PanikTOR117:240:401:1040