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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 13, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Datsyuk–Zetterberg–AbdelkaderNyquist–Tatar–SheahanWeiss–Helm–PulkkinenMiller–Andersson–GlendeningMiller–Helm–GlendeningQuincey–DeKeyserKronwall–EricssonSmith–OuelletEricsson–Quincey
Moulson–Ennis–Girgensons3:420.16–0.005:060.14–0.351:140.00–0.041:200.00–0.001:150.02–0.024:570.22–0.195:450.18–0.171:070.00–0.040:590.00–0.02
Stafford–Mitchell–Flynn8:280.14–0.171:410.00–0.025:250.01–0.033:530.13–0.101:520.00–0.05
Hodgson–Deslauriers–Varone0:430.00–0.023:280.08–0.263:110.01–0.010:380.00–0.001:370.00–0.212:400.06–0.033:520.03–0.05
Ellis–Kaleta–Dalpe0:350.00–0.001:110.00–0.092:060.15–0.050:400.02–0.010:550.11–0.003:240.09–0.16
Gorges–Myers11:380.14–0.182:250.02–0.065:440.00–0.046:280.12–0.132:490.02–0.06
Meszaros–Weber0:310.09–0.004:230.10–0.243:070.01–0.012:220.15–0.030:420.00–0.023:550.11–0.213:380.19–0.003:490.11–0.070:420.00–0.02
Benoit–Ristolainen1:080.00–0.003:290.16–0.253:340.00–0.212:010.21–0.020:410.00–0.023:180.33–0.063:060.09–0.243:460.04–0.19
Weber–Myers1:010.12–0.000:440.00–0.010:470.00–0.011:100.12–0.00
Benoit–Myers0:350.01–0.000:320.00–0.000:470.01–0.00
Weber–Ristolainen0:530.00–0.130:440.00–0.130:360.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMitchell FStafford FFlynn FMoulson FGirgensons FEnnis FHodgson FDeslauriers FVarone FDalpe FKaleta FEllis FGorges DMyers DRistolainen DBenoit DWeber DMeszaros DNeuvirth GAbdelkader FDatsyuk FZetterberg FNyquist FSheahan FTatar FHelm FPulkkinen FWeiss FMiller FAndersson FGlendening FEricsson DKronwall DQuincey DDeKeyser DSmith DOuellet DMrazek G
BUFDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Tyler MyersBUF2827:561:003:1339
Kyle QuinceyDET3022:260:451:3455
Niklas KronwallDET2922:250:461:5175
Tyler EnnisBUF2222:241:012:5632
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2521:550:531:3644
Josh GorgesBUF2821:540:472:52311
Danny DeKeyserDET3021:000:421:3456
Matt MoulsonBUF2120:490:592:5532
Jonathan EricssonDET3020:390:411:2165
Henrik ZetterbergDET2420:180:511:32101
Pavel DatsyukDET2419:420:491:32111
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2719:220:431:4631
Mike WeberBUF2419:160:481:2913
Justin AbdelkaderDET2318:150:481:32111
Riley SheahanDET2518:120:441:2664
Brian FlynnBUF2717:550:401:2538
Drew StaffordBUF2416:430:421:3558
Gustav NyquistDET1916:150:511:4171
Andrej MeszarosBUF2216:080:441:1333
Tomas TatarDET2116:060:461:4062
Andre BenoitBUF2515:560:381:3001
Torrey MitchellBUF2415:550:401:2527
Xavier OuelletDET2814:320:311:1541
Brendan SmithDET2714:150:321:0331
Darren HelmDET2114:090:401:0823
Luke GlendeningDET1813:070:441:2014
Phil VaroneBUF1612:240:471:3931
Stephen WeissDET1611:530:451:1921
Drew MillerDET1711:420:411:2013
Teemu PulkkinenDET1611:200:431:1921
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1511:120:451:2530
Cody HodgsonBUF1510:550:441:2031
Zac DalpeBUF148:000:341:2611
Joakim AnderssonDET148:000:340:5622
Matt EllisBUF157:280:300:5902
Patrick KaletaBUF147:150:310:5311