Sat, Jan 17, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Colorado Avalanche 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 74% of the time.
18%
67%
TBL winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 25:21 | 0.15 | 80.5% | +48.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 24:58 | 0.03 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.01 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.12 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.05 | 80.7% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:09 | 0.34 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.18 | 75.3% | +48.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 18:44 | 0.74 | 75.3% | +68.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:51 | 0.55 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:59 | 0.74 | 77.5% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.13 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.01 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.07 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.03 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13:24 | 0.23 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:35 | 0.18 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:38 | 0.09 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.17 | +0.2 | 62:57 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 24:32 | 0.01 | 32.8% | +44.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 24:06 | 0.14 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:51 | 0.07 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:25 | 0.00 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.08 | 20.9% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.09 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.07 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.09 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:42 | 0.35 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.14 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.06 | 14.2% | +15.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:07 | 0.44 | 25.9% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.04 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.13 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:17 | 0.07 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.29 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.07 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 42 | 40 | 2 | .952 | 3.67 | +1.7 | 65:00 |