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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 10, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Nashville Predators 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Johnson–Palat–KucherovFilppula–Callahan–StamkosCallahan–Killorn–StamkosKillorn–Connolly–DrouinMorrow–Boyle–BrownFilppula–Boyle–ConnollyBoyle–Killorn–DrouinHedman–SustrGarrison–WitkowskiStralman–BarberioStralman–HedmanGarrison–SustrWitkowski–HedmanStralman–GarrisonBarberio–SustrBarberio–WitkowskiStralman–Witkowski
Gaustad–Nystrom–Beck1:370.00–0.145:580.13–0.121:270.01–0.183:140.00–0.141:440.00–0.091:500.01–0.190:400.00–0.000:470.13–0.041:560.00–0.04
Cullen–Bourque–Jarnkrok3:140.10–0.112:350.00–0.002:130.08–0.031:290.00–0.141:260.04–0.002:110.00–0.004:200.15–0.021:160.02–0.001:400.00–0.030:370.00–0.11
Fisher–Neal–Stalberg4:310.07–0.201:020.03–0.000:340.02–0.000:400.00–0.000:570.05–0.002:380.04–0.161:350.07–0.000:580.02–0.460:480.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:390.02–0.000:380.00–0.00
Ribeiro–Smith–Forsberg1:140.01–0.291:120.40–0.042:370.13–0.061:250.00–0.071:120.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:400.00–0.003:460.45–0.210:520.08–0.060:320.00–0.081:200.00–0.04
Stalberg–Bourque–Jarnkrok1:120.04–0.010:520.01–0.000:380.00–0.01
Cullen–Fisher–Neal0:580.00–0.001:240.00–0.00
Fisher–Neal–Forsberg0:320.00–0.030:330.00–0.020:320.00–0.030:320.00–0.02
Weber–Josi2:470.11–0.128:330.17–0.095:160.12–0.091:350.00–0.144:280.03–0.065:470.20–0.102:180.05–0.012:020.08–0.022:040.13–0.031:590.00–0.221:090.02–0.00
Volchenkov–Jones8:500.14–0.522:090.00–0.062:200.09–0.001:250.00–0.004:000.05–0.272:530.07–0.002:190.05–0.181:240.00–0.011:070.00–0.041:010.00–0.001:280.00–0.110:430.07–0.000:380.00–0.00
Bartley–Bitetto0:430.00–0.112:330.40–0.001:420.00–0.081:560.00–0.532:540.00–0.001:300.00–0.013:000.40–0.660:410.00–0.06
Bartley–Jones1:410.00–0.041:080.00–0.030:460.00–0.04
Weber–Bartley1:030.00–0.03
Weber–Jones
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndForsberg FSmith FRibeiro FNystrom FGaustad FBeck FFisher FNeal FStalberg FCullen FJarnkrok FBourque FJones DVolchenkov DWeber DJosi DBartley DBitetto DRinne GMorrow FBoyle FBrown FCallahan FFilppula FStamkos FKucherov FPalat FJohnson FConnolly FKillorn FDrouin FGarrison DStralman DSustr DHedman DWitkowski DBarberio DVasilevskiy G
NSHTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea WeberNSH3130:561:001:3648
Roman JosiNSH2927:330:571:31410
Victor HedmanTBL3226:190:491:38123
Seth JonesNSH3525:350:441:3528
Anton StralmanTBL3022:570:462:3235
Andrej SustrTBL2822:160:481:4975
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2921:480:451:1874
Steven StamkosTBL2621:160:491:1277
Tyler JohnsonTBL2820:550:451:2643
Ryan CallahanTBL2620:500:481:1366
Jason GarrisonTBL2820:360:441:2326
Ondrej PalatTBL2819:580:431:2653
Mike FisherNSH2518:590:461:5276
Anton VolchenkovNSH2718:440:421:2227
Matt CullenNSH2517:590:431:2926
Nikita KucherovTBL2517:520:431:1141
James NealNSH2117:380:501:2946
Paul GaustadNSH2317:030:441:2827
Alex KillornTBL2117:000:491:1893
Luke WitkowskiTBL2416:500:421:1204
Eric NystromNSH2016:020:481:3026
Filip ForsbergNSH1915:180:481:5140
Calle JarnkrokNSH2215:150:421:2936
Mark BarberioTBL2115:060:431:2021
Gabriel BourqueNSH1914:500:471:2934
Taylor BeckNSH1814:420:491:4614
Brian BoyleTBL2214:420:401:1422
Victor BartleyNSH1814:310:481:2823
Craig SmithNSH1813:360:451:3631
Mike RibeiroNSH1813:200:441:3621
Brett ConnollyTBL1713:190:471:2660
Viktor StalbergNSH1711:430:411:1033
Anthony BitettoNSH1610:090:381:1022
Jonathan DrouinTBL109:060:551:1051
Brenden MorrowTBL96:450:451:2702
JT BrownTBL96:130:411:0401